According to the latest opinion24 poll for Radio Zet Rafał Trzaskowski and Karol Nawrocki shares 8 points percent. For the 3rd place, whose first circular of presidential elections allows the support of 1 candidate in the second, there is simply a fight not between Simon Holovnia and Magdalena Biejatand between Sławomir Mentzen and Krzysztof Stanowski.
The campaigns of Holownia and Biejat are very moderate, they do not pose a real challenge to the co-coalist candidate – and the coalition inactive shrieks. Simon Holownia only learned about the planned reconstruction of the government after the election and the simplification in the number of ministries.
Assuming the option of president Rafał Trzaskowski, the government will be able to decision on to the offensive to reconstruct the regulation of law and show a further initiative on public policy solutions. Moreover, any politicians who are in government today, and who are co-workers of Rafał Trzaskowski, e.g. Minister of Sport, will most likely decision behind him to the Presidential Palace.
In an adverse option for the KO, it would besides be useful to regroup to minimise the losses resulting from the presidency blocking government action.
However, these arguments are not the subject of discussion, but the Prime Minister's information that he would want to build a minimum government, "one of the smallest governments in EuropeIt’s okay. ” This announcement can be read in 2 ways: either as another example of taking over the agenda of populists, for whom the perfect is simply a inexpensive state with a minimum administration – and the Polish government now has 109 people and costs taxpayers almost 2 million zlotys per period – or as an announcement of further marginalization of coalitions.
Because these 2 million we pay for a coalition that doesn't regulation the Law and Justice. The composition of the government is due to the request to fill positions, the division of areas crucial to individual coalitions. And so Poland 2050 received conservation of nature, forests – the subject most frequently discussed by it in the campaign, and the Left was active in the area of work and equality.
The problem is that neither organization nor organization can boast large success. And if there are any (grandmother, widow's pension, in vitro) – they must share them with others.
As early as June, Poland voted against the Nature Restoration Law project, openly opposed the Green Deal and the Migration Pact, tried to undermine the Geneva Convention, the last consecutive lost the draft employment contracts for migrants or higher contributions to the NFZ. Even equality, i.e. partnerships and reproductive rights, began to be presented as unattractive.
The Green, pro-European, equal electorate of the coalition KOs has been given a fig with poppy, and to comfort him can watch increasingly poorer performances of hearings of PiS MPs before parliamentary committees.
Now, what she revealed on X Minister Katarzyna Pełczyńska-Nałęcz (perhaps conventional forms of contact with government colleagues have failed), even in the coalition agreement social constructions were cut by nearly half.
So we pay for a coalition that doesn't work, does not deliver, is quarrelled, and its members not only don't cooperate, but they can't even talk.
Supporters of 1 list can be satisfied by seeing smaller coalitions turn into entrees and are slow eaten. From the beginning, they argued that only 1 list would give a decisive triumph over the Law and that it would make a legitimate government. The problem is that Poles want pluralism and very much wanted to see that there is simply a possible consensus over divisions, and democratic parties have a common ground of values under their feet, and so are the most different from the Law and Justices, under which the burden is spread.
Well, they're disappointed. Now, on the 1 hand, they have a gulf, on the other, politicians who are either weak or unwilling to represent them due to the fact that they take over populist content. The words spoken by Beata Szydło at the end of the electoral run in 2023 float in the air: close your eyes, close your noses and vote. Is that a possible for universal mobilization?
The problem of the Civic Coalition is not only the desire to dominate the largest coalition, but besides the dual PSL game. Blocking progressive solutions, the determination with which the organization wants to represent the Church and hunters, repeated all now and then words about the fact that conservatives are more, make them ponder their loyalty to the democratic project. It is besides invisible to be active in Holowna's election campaign.
PSL is most loyal to PSL. After the presidential election, if Rafał Trzaskowski wins, they will follow him, but if Nawrocki – won't they make a coalition with PiS and Confederate?
Failure in the coalition deprives the power campaign. They send a signal that the voices of the most fanatical KO electorate are sufficient, alternatively of calling all hands on board. And this win is either not democracy and the consequence must be clear so that the PiS cannot undermine the importance of the elections.
