The protracted reconstruction of the government is finalizing before our eyes, but will not lead to an improvement in the situation of the government coalition. alternatively of a fresh opening, we might alternatively be relieved that this soap opera is yet ending.
With each subsequent day it becomes increasingly clear that the current ruling majority combines only fear of the return of the Law and Justice to power. Fear can be a good motivation erstwhile you gotta get out of trouble, but weak erstwhile you gotta make something. And voters anticipate reforms from the government, not the protection of the backs of leading politicians in power.
These are the main reasons why reconstruction will not bring any fresh opening.
Leader weakness
When even Agnieszka Holland says Tusk It burned out, that's reliable proof that it burned out a long time ago. erstwhile the Prime Minister first announced a post-election reconstruction of the government, it seemed he would join it from the position of force. And while the presidential election revealed the weakness of all the coalitions, Tusk's position weakened most.
First, the formation he led again failed to bring the task of reflecting the presidential palace, although its candidate entered the run with a ten-point advantage over the main competitor. Moreover, Donald Tusk turned out to be the biggest burden of TrzaskowskiWho himself has tried to cut himself off from the government. A terrible speech in the Sejm, erstwhile Tusk threatened opposition politicians with prison, and an already celebrated interview in Bogdan Rymanowski's program, where he spoke terrible even farts, only mobilized the right to crowdly go to elections.
Secondly, contrary to appearances, the Civic Coalition has the most to lose in earlier elections. Yes, PSL and Poland 2050 would most likely not enter the Sejm, and the Left would do so with large difficulty. However, politicians of the smaller coalitions are only threatened by the failure of mandates. KO leaders are in danger of losing their freedom.
At present, the Law and Justice are not only in the temper of triumphism but besides of a large desire for revenge. And the possible government of the Kaczyński group will not take revenge on Czarzasty, Holownia or Kosiniaku-Kamish, but on Tusk, Bodnar and Sienkiewicz. These 3 are in the PiS and its electorate so hated that after losing power, she will only be able to escape to Brussels. What Sienkiewicz has already done.
The fresh beginning of the government would gotta affect replacing the Prime Minister – for example, the increasingly popular Radosław Sikorski. Meanwhile, Sikorski was promoted according to media reports, but only to Deputy Prime Minister. In the eyes of voters, it will be a purely cosmetic change, if they announcement it at all.
Tensions in the coalition
The atmosphere in the government camp is terrible. There was most likely no specified large animosity in any Polish government in the 21st century. After Simon Holownia's last feats, the coalitionists completely lost trust in him and Poland 2050 is in this government solely due to the fact that without it he would not be at all. The Holown organization is even internally divided. Isabella Bodnar left her, which is 1 of the most curiosive figures in Polish politics. Tomasz Zimoch was suspended for criticism of Holownia, and the common dislike of Holownia and Pełczyńska-Nałęcz is simply a mystery of polysinel.
In addition, animosity occurs between coalition groups. The Left hates the PSL, and the 3rd Road officially ended its life, as the PSL began to respect Poland 2050 as a burden, not a reinforcement. The Prime Minister himself does not hide resentment towards many ministers in his government. It is known that he hates Pełczyńska-Nałęcz and that is why he announced the deficiency of a position of Deputy Prime Minister for Poland 2050, although it is possible that the Holownia group will win them – if not now, then after the planned change in the seat of the talker of the Sejm.
Tusk was besides not along the way with the “Trzaskowski people”, including Sławomir Nitras, who, as part of the reconstruction, said goodbye to the government position, replaced by Jakub Rutnicki. Just get free of it easily, due to the fact that the ministry of athletics can be thrown anywhere – in the past athletics was already part of both the ministry of education and culture.
Lack of programme coherence
Government organization politicians and faithful commentators argued that Andrzej Duda was the main brake of the coalition's actions, which is evidently not true. The brakes themselves were politicians making up the current majority. Duda did not sign key laws not due to the fact that he did not like them, but due to the fact that he did not get them on the desk. The coalitionists failed to scope a consensus not only on the liberalisation of abortion law, which would indeed have been vetoed, but even on partnerships, and the housing programme was not voted out until this month.
In addition, the current coalition has no flagship program whose implementation could give it wind to sail. Even if she tried to make something like that, everyone rapidly forgot.
Does anyone even remember that last year the Prime Minister on the Eagle announced the organisation of the Olympic Games by Poland? Apart from the fact that this is simply a very foolish idea, it ended with the end of the press conference. The Kuriosian conference under the noisy title "The Year of Breakdown", during which the Prime Minister praised private sector investments, presenting them as if they were government projects, was besides forgotten a fewer days after it ended. And even if it was remembered by some, it was only due to the fact that Tusk appointed Rafal Przoska as his Elon Musk.
Only in the area of deregulation does something actually happen. alternatively of large liberalisation of the law, we will have many cosmetic changes that most of the public will not even see.
Personality Over Structure
For most of the time, the reconstruction was discussed in public debate from the position of people who might lose their position, possibly get promoted alternatively than the desired form of the government. Furthermore, this form was from the beginning the consequence of organization personnel negotiations and ambition of individual politicians, not a broader imagination of the direction in which the country should be heading.
An absurdly large number of members of the government resulted from the adoption of a completely unwise concept that each organization should have a deputy minister in each of the ministries. The coalition deal was totally ridiculous. It wrote the very generalities that each organization understood in its own way. If it were compared to the German coalition agreement, in which even the migration policy was spread over respective in-depth areas, it could be broken down.
Of course, the combination of economical ministries, which have so far been scattered after at least 5 ministries, is simply a good direction. The creation of a meaningless Ministry of Industry, in order to place it in Katowice and to refine the electorate in Silesia, was a purely pierceic play. The elimination of the positions of alleged ministers without portfolios, specified as the Minister for Equality or the Minister for elder Policy (this was the case) and their inclusion in the Ministry of Family, Labour and Social Policy is besides a legitimate solution. The problem is that it's just a heroic problem solving that's created itself.
The coalition should begin its governance by presenting its concept of the form of the Council of Ministers. As early as December 2023, we should know not only why individual ministries and government positions exist, but besides what circumstantial tasks they gotta perform. The current merger of ministries and government weight loss, almost halfway through the word of office, is already mustard after dinner.
The enemy president.
Especially since August, there will be a truly dense opponent in the presidential palace. As Kuba Majmurek correctly wrote, the coalition He will shortly miss Andrzej Duda.
Karol Nawrocki is known for his brutality and is capable of very dangerous moves, specified as politicizing an army, of which he will formally rule. It will fill the Sejm with its draft laws, simultaneously veto government laws. With the aid of the National safety Office, which will be headed by the hater Tusk and his squad Prof. Sławomir Cenckiewicz, he will effort to join the politics of the Ministry of abroad Affairs, the Ministry of abroad Affairs and the Ministry of National Affairs. If the governing coalition could not implement its “programme” with Andrzej Duda in the palace, then Nawrocki would not do it any more.
For the above reasons, the reconstruction of the government will not mean any fresh opening, but only the continuation of useless life, only that in a somewhat different shape. The only good thing about her is that we're yet gonna halt doing this.
