Will Charles Nawrocki defend our property?

What views do the fresh president have on the economy? It's a large mystery. It is not clear which face of Karol Nawrocki is actual – the 1 erstwhile he signed the declaration given to him by the leader of “Solidarity” Peter Duda, or the 1 erstwhile in Toruń he signed under liberal postulates written by Sławomir Mentzen.

On the day of the swearing-in of president Karol Nawrocki thousands of people drove to Warsaw to accompany the fresh head of state in the events of that day. This is an awesome demonstration of support for the fresh president, who has been the mark of violent and in many cases poorly documented attacks initiated by part of the media and politicians of the ruling coalition. However, as it turned out, the dirty election run not only did not discourage people from politics, but even mobilized to support the unparalleled president.

In consequence to his support, Nawrocki declared during the message that he wanted to become “the voice of the Polish people”. He referred to his electoral promises, or "Plan 21". This plan was to give him an election triumph and so promised to proceed his assumptions.

However, economical views seem to be the weakest point of the fresh president's plan. It is hard to say what Karol Nawrocki intends, after all, and "Plan 21", and another programme declarations, which he signed during the election campaign, are conflicting in any places. However, let's effort to thin on how president Nawrocki intends to take care of our property, that is, what is his attitude towards the economy – taxes, state development, budget expenditure, etc.

That, contrary to appearances, is not meaningless. due to the fact that although the president has very limited powers, he does not deficiency the ability to influence the government. Let us remind that the tenant of the Namestnik Palace can submit a legislative initiative, sign the budget (he can besides challenge it to the Constitutional Court) and have a powerful weapon which is the presidential veto. How will Karol Nawrocki benefit from these competences erstwhile it comes to state economical policy?

Nawrocki Plan

Karol Nawrocki's ideas on what Poland's economical policy should look like are a mixture of socialism and free marketplace liberalism. It is surprising, but that is the case, and I will admit, that what is most worrying about the fresh president's programme is this deficiency of coherent vision. Of course, the president does not regulation the state, so its impact on the economy remains limited, but it is nevertheless good to know whether the head of state has any circumstantial views or not. After all, Karol Nawrocki will have a certain influence on the policy of the government.

Let us look at the beginning of Plan 21, the main programming paper of Karol Nawrocki. It's a very general document, which is hard to complain about, after all, it's election material, notabene much better thought-out than the absurd 100 specifics of the Civic Platform.

Here too, in the programme initiated by Nawrocki himself, this deficiency of consistency strikes. We find very good demands for reducing and simplifying taxes, including the proposal for taxation facilitations for entrepreneurs, but there will besides be promises of inexpensive electricity (a discount of 33%), the establishment of a Patient Service Centre and the valorisation of pensions.

In the case of the Patient Service Center, it is hard to take a position, due to the fact that although Karol Nawrocki claimed that integrating the wellness care strategy would reduce the queues, I am not convinced that without a complete change in the system, setting up another prosthesis could aid hospitals and medical facilities. But let us leave the Augiah Stand on the side.

Suffice to say that "Plan 21" resembles a want list, arranged under the dictate of polls. Karol Nawrocki, having lowered and simplified taxes, would like to start immediately with large investment projects specified as CPK and atomic power plants. It besides plans to invest in arms and build civilian defence. It all sounds good, the problem is, you gotta finance it all. Of course, simply stimulating the economy by simplifying and lowering any taxes (e.g. VAT) can revive GDP over a fewer years, but as I realize the intention of the fresh president is alternatively to velocity up the introduction of these solutions, which cannot be reconciled with a abrupt simplification in budgetary revenues. In order to finance large investments in specified realities in the short term, the consequences of specified a decision will should be indebted, and the consequences of this decision are a serious limitation of Poland's sovereignty in economical matters, but besides of citizens' freedoms. The debt must be repaid, and the government – as Margaret Thatcher reminded us – has no money. In order to get it, it must scope into the pockets of citizens.

Nawrocki promised much more, but any of these promises sound very general. It is hard to specify precisely what the slogan-call “Investments! all day’. On the karolnawrocki2025.pl website we read that it is about the expansion of road infrastructure, water and sewage networks, expanding the availability of the net and so on. That means expenses, expenses, expenses.

It is further stated that the president would like to "support a farmer and a Polish village", and the fresh improvement of this slogan shows that this post is filled with reasonable content. Nawrocki opposes the EU agreement with Mercosur countries, the chain law or the uncontrolled influx of food from Ukraine.

And finally, the slogan is the most crumpled, or "in the end its own M", which seems to be called "living by law, not by goods", taken over late by the Law and Justice. Nawrocki, as can be concluded from his statements, sees an chance in the construction of inexpensive housing by the state, which is risky for the construction marketplace in Poland. The entry of the ‘superdeveloper’ in the form of a state will distort competition and could lead to a crisis in the industry. It is besides unclear how the state would give citizens "access to state support for the acquisition of the first apartment", due to the fact that it is simply a square of a ellipse for which the president does not have an appropriate administrative apparatus.

The thought of reducing the unfair profits of banks on interest on housing loans is much better, but there are besides questions here. The basis for lending is interest, after all, the lending supplier is earning on interest. Who will decide erstwhile interest gains are “unfair”? Certainly, the reorganization is required by WIBOR itself, which depends on the interest rate on mortgage loans, and which is not, as it utilized to be, related to interest rates, but is the average interest rate on loans in individual banks.

Mortgage loans should indeed be more easy available to those planning to buy an apartment, but here again we are addressing the issue of the banking system, which the president – without cooperation with the applicable minister and head of the Central Bank – may not compromise without negative consequences. Again, the weakness of the presidential background bows.

The promises of Karol Nawrocki concerning the rejection of the Green Deal or the defence of the Polish zloty look much better. In this first case, there is besides a window in the European Union to correct the programme, but the main burden here lies on the government. The President, on the another hand, can support the government in this matter, if agreement is reached in hard conditions of co-habitation as expected. Practice practice, but nevertheless these 2 obligations of Nawrocki are definitely worth commending.

Toruń Declaration versus Solidarity Declaration

While Plan 21 seems to be a marketing product to any extent, 2 another programme commitments signed by Karol Nawrocki during the election run are a amazing effort to combine water with fire. We are, of course, talking about commitments made by the PiS candidate to the trade unionists of Solidarity and Sławomir Mentzen.

Nawrocki's unions have promised a lot. The paper entitled "The Solidarity Agreement with Dr. Karol Nawrocki" states that if a candidate becomes president, he will do his best (he will usage all his powers) to prevent an increase in retirement age and to prevent the liquidation of 13th and 14th retirements. Nawrocki further declared to keep the regulation of trade on Sunday, workers' rights, rising minimum wage, increase in wages in the budgetary sphere or write-off for the Social Benefits Fund. Nawrocki besides undertook to defend trade union privileges (including taxation breaks on contributions) as well as social programs, Polish agriculture and wood industry.

Let us leave on the side the sectorality of any of these promises, the fact is that it is impossible to reconcile the socialist imagination of Poland, which was supported by Nawrocki "Solidarity", with the alleged "Torun Declaration of Sławomir Mentzen", which Nawrocki in turn signed before the second circular of elections. In fact, the full Nawrocki Declaration of “Solidarity” already invalidates the first point of the Mentzen Declaration, which states: “I will not sign any law that raises existing taxes, contributions and charges, and introduces fresh fiscal burdens.”

It is so essential to ask the question, which Nawrocki is the "real" one, who promises that the state will become Santa Claus, giving gifts to citizens on the right and left, that it will keep harmful union privileges and yet choke entrepreneurs with a continuous increase in minimum wage, or 1 who in a lesepheristic speech ensures that it will not let Poles to impose any additional fiscal burdens for at least 5 years. Believe me, by signing both Nawrocka's declarations, he made an incredibly deep twine, which, for an athlete with specified muscle mass, may surprise you. It is besides amazing that Piotr Duda was not curious in Nawrocki's signing of the "Mentzen Declaration", as it actually strikes off everything that the current president has committed to "Solidarity".

The possibilities of explaining specified an attitude of the then presidential candidate are rather simple. Either Nawrocki lied to Mentzen or Peter Duda. Or – which is besides possible – he felt that it could be someway reconciled. If we consider this second possibility, it remains to be hoped that the president will environment himself with good advisors.

There's another possibility. It is besides fair to say that Nawrocki's attitude fits into the global trends of politicians representing alternate political forces to liberals. They are usually economically pragmatic, that is, their views on economics are an accident of electorate needs, while the main force of these movements is to argue the established order and discount social anger on the failure of liberal politics. And so the French National Unity is simply a much more left-wing economical organization than at least the German AfD. Donald Trump, on the another hand, easy mixes the promises of improving poorer Americans, with taxation preferences for the richest. They are joined by criticisms of migration policy or ideologies, and anti-establishment identity.

Karol Nawrocki, therefore, may have jumped on the same wave as another politicians who are an alternate to liberals. From this point of view, it is simply a modern policy, which does not necessarily mean that the solutions it will support will prove beneficial for Poland.

Two Presidential Laws

What do we know about the President's approach to the economy? Let us briefly look at the concrete actions of Karol Nawrocki.

So far, the president has filed 2 laws. 1 restores the first task of the CPK, with the concept of an extended railway line for the advanced velocity Railways, the another proposes a zero PIT for families of 2 children to income PLN 140 1000 per person, which means taxation preferences or taxation exemptions for about 1.5 million families. That's a large budget loss.

The first of the projects seems right, after all, Poland needs infrastructure investments, including the expansion of railway lines, but the question of the origin of their financing remains. However, if we are to spend money on something – even if it threatens to increase debt – it is surely a better thought to pro-development task than to drop social gifts from a government helicopter.

I have a bigger problem with zero PiT taxation for families with 2 children. Low and, above all, simple taxes are a large idea, but in this case, we are talking fundamentally about taxation elimination for a large part of the payers. The reasons are clear and circumstantial – it is simply a pro-demographic programme. I would so like the president to point out earlier any concrete calculations, based on studies, from which we will learn that a simplification in the PiT taxation will actually make families with 1 kid more willing to decide on another descendant. This is not about blindly proposing zero taxes or another social gifts, due to the fact that it “seems like a good idea.” Demographics – as we see on our own Polish example, where the 500 plus program has not proved to be a crucial impetus for the growth of fertility – is simply a more complicated puzzle than the issue of granting any crucial financial privilege. possibly individual has calculated this to you, and it would be interesting to know the broader background of the proposed taxation change.

Finally, both of these projects tabled by the president of Nawrocki authoritiously, without any organization consultations, erstwhile the parliamentary majority, to put it mildly, is not conducive to the presidential centre, appear to be "contributions" aimed at determining the axis of the dispute with the government. It is hard to presume that shortly after the message’s confrontation with the government, the ruling coalition will support both laws in the dark. If the president truly wanted them to be held by Parliament, he would invitation individual political forces to the table and effort to negotiate, and possibly trigger social force on the government or any coalition parties.

Despite the many contradictions we find in Karol Nawrocki's economical programme, it is worth giving him confidence. We have learned the most about his views during the election campaign, and specified cognition does not always give us a appropriate image of the real views of politics. If the politically inexperienced Nawrocks environment themselves with the right people, possibly they will choose a course that will be beneficial to what is noisy, but besides truly, we call the individual freedom of each of us. It does not, of course, close only in economical matters, but it is an crucial part of it. And if so, it is worth following closely the President's actions in this field.

Tomasz Figura