The election of Karol Nawrocki as president of the Republic of Poland opens the way to the 2027 most right-wing parliamentary majority since 1989. This chance must not be wasted.
The presidential elections are of their own importance, but this time their actual importance concerns the year 2027, erstwhile parliamentary elections will take place in Poland. Having a man with a clear right identity in the Presidential Palace, it is possible to build a majority that – unlike the Law and Justices, especially between 2017 and 2023 – will not compromise with leftist liberalism. For this, however, not only the determination of right-wing politicians is needed, but besides a serious ability to cooperate – and as flawless ideological purity as possible.
Aversion to the Civic Coalition and the revolutionary agenda of Rafał Trzaskowski proved to be an highly strong binder for many millions of Poles. Karol Nawrocki was supported by both PiS voters and supporters of Sławomir Mentzen, Grzegorz Braun and Marek Jakubiak. The usage of this promising mechanics is not only possible, but must be repeated during the 2027 parliamentary elections.
It is apparent that then each organization will play each other, trying to increase their own state of ownership at the expense of another right-wing competitors. However, if all major players enter the race with a strategical presumption of the request to build a post-election coalition that will bury Donald Tusk's hated rule, antagonisms do not gotta prevail.
According to current organization polls Law and Justice and the Confederacy can number on almost 50 percent of the vote. By joining the election campaign, they should present themselves to Poles as complementary ways to solve the "Tusk problem". Each group can freely accentuate its own specificity, make concrete promises – but directing the blade of its election rhetoric against the Government of the Civic Coalition alternatively than against each other.
This is an crucial lesson coming from the 2023 election, erstwhile the Law and Justice organization focused besides much on criticizing the Confederacy, and the Confederacy proclaimed a slogan juxtaposing the harmfulness of the Law and Justice Party. In 2027, this must be categorically removed, preferably by establishing a strategy for a reasonable cooperation in competition.
For the success of this script is 1 very crucial condition. no of the major right-wing parties can proclaim postulates that are in any way consistent with left-wing liberalism. They may disagree in the assessment of social and taxation policy, or accentuate the imagination of the infrastructure improvement of Poland or indicate different concepts of global alliances policies – But any bowing before revolutionary ideology must be excluded.
In another words: no more scandalous support for the part of the Law and Justice for abortion; no more support for in vitro. On the Confederate side, absolutely no affirmative suggestions for "tax solutions" for single-sex unions and rejection of narratives about "good economical migrants" that be only in the perfect but not realistic world.
Where it comes to:
– the right to life;
– sovereignty;
– Catholic and national identity of Poland,
Law and Justice and the Confederacy must talk with 1 strong voice.
Necessity to meet this condition for successful electoral operation in 2027 is based on 2 points.
Firstly, competition – i.e. method matters. At the occasion of all parliamentary election, there are small, unstable groups that "bite" the right-wing electorate. I do not want to enter into the origin of their growth – whether it is simply a cynical game of services, or alternatively a genuine rage about the betrayal of Catholic postulates. In any case, the effects are lamentable, as in 2023, erstwhile any of the believing Poles transferred votes to the Raphael Piech Formation, for example, thus stripping the support of the Law and the Confederation. On the occasion of the next elections, the Law and Justice and the Confederation must not let a fresh group of this kind to emerge. How? Simple – Honest! The Law and Justice had an iron rule: nothing to the right of us. This is simply a truly excellent rule – provided that the way to implement it is to preach the most right-wing program, not the Chadetic flushes. The same applies, of course, to the Confederates: alongside the freedomists of Sławomir Mentzen, the organization must let those politicians who represent the more national electorate of Grzegorz Braun to vote. If the 2027 elections were to become a time of triumph of the Civic Coalition due to the inability to scope agreement between the fresh Hope and the Confederation of the Polish Crown, it would be a large drama. It cannot be completely excluded, but the hazard of it must be minimised within 2 years.
Second and foremost, right. The Law and the Confederation must present an integral right-wing imagination of Poland's development, due to the fact that it is simply a question of credibility – and effectiveness. In 2023, the PiS lost due to the fact that it departed from conservative ideas for a profoundly conciliatory attitude towards liberal European reality. In October, voters sent out not the authentic right-wing formation, but the group that preached the Green Deal, the 5 for Animals, opened Poland to economical migrants from muslim countries, and terribly filmed abortion. In Poland, soft chadetia is not needed by anyone; conservative cohesion is needed. The political right, established in the teaching of the Catholic Church, is simply right: and having the right and its implementation leads to good politics and success. The Law and the Confederacy could not possibly scope full agreement on social policy issues, but it seems that a pragmatic agreement is possible here. Savings can be sought in various sectors – for example, in reducing an incredibly large bureaucracy, in 2015-2023 combined with a powerful money distribution between various dubious organisations, which, in addition to spreading slogans, did absolutely nothing.
In the end, however, strategical cooperation between the Law and the Confederation will require first and foremost 1 thing: designation by the formation of Jarosław Kaczyński of the legitimacy of many of the Confederate's demands. Although it sounds unlikely, it doesn't gotta be. The Confederacy program does not truly have many things that would be unacceptable to the core identity of the PiS.
If the Law and the Confederation enter into a strategical electoral agreement and adopt an uncompromising, conservative attitude on major issues of civilization, it will be possible to make a unchangeable and with the most right-wing government after 1989. With Karol Nawrocki at the Presidential Palace, this would give a full of 3 years to carry out major changes, with the degree only with the top difficulty reversible for a possible left-wing coalition after the 2031 election. present we face an unprecedented opportunity. It must not be wasted – and much besides depends on voters who, in the age of social media, actually co-create an election campaign. Clear Catholic principles must be required from the main parties – and guided by the spirit of building a broad right-wing political community, in order to effectively remove Tusk from power and initiate reforms that will put Poland back on its feet.
Paweł Chmielewski
