In the latest survey poll Opinion24 Law and Justice and Civic Coalition received identical support – after 28.8%. This confirms that the political conflict between the 2 largest formations continues to divide the scene in half. The advantage of either is not clear adequate to talk about dominance – the fight is about all percent point.
Turnout would be advanced – as many as 76% of respondents declare their willingness to participate in elections if they were held next Sunday. In this group, 3rd place was taken by the Confederation of Freedom and independency with a score of 13.8%. It is simply a consequence that inactive puts this formation as a 3rd force, but 1 cannot neglect to announcement that the Confederation is drifting more and more towards the center. Despite the right-wing label, the group besides frequently avoids simple answers, alternatively of proposing liable solutions – and that is what the electorate, who has so far unreservedly supported it, expects.
The 4th place included the Confederation of the Polish Crown – the group of Grzegorz Braun – with a consequence of 6.9%. Importantly, it is already the second poll in a row (after the Pollster study), which gives KKP identical support. Braun's organization seems to gain on the clarity of the message and unequivocally conservative position in ideological matters – this attracts voters seeking hard rules alternatively than political calculation.
The left in the survey gained 6.1%, which gives her space above the threshold, but without more reserve. The 3rd road – the alliance of PSL and Poland 2050 – barely exceeded 5%. If these parties start again as a coalition, the TD will not power the Sejm due to the necessity to exceed the 8% threshold. The biggest loser of this poll is the full Party, which with a score of 4.6% was below the threshold. This is the effect of self-starting and deficiency of clear political identity in the eyes of a wider electorate.
5% of respondents could not identify their candidate and 0.9% chose different groups than those included in the main ranking.
The survey was carried out on 9-12 June on a typical example of 1003 people. The results show clearly: the right has the possible to take the initiative again, but only if its transmission is consistent, liable and focused on the future of the state, not on media excesses.
