The honeymoon weeks are over. The Morawiecki government will finish its life and Tusk will take control of the state. Parliament has already been taken over, as evidenced by the windmill scandal, most likely the first lobbyist contribution of the Sejm to its fresh word of office. And like present MP Hennig-Kloska from Poland 2050 can't defend herself very much, throwing everything on the Law and Justice, so in a fewer weeks the Tusk government won't be able to do so. The settlement will begin.
However, present it is visible that a full array of fundamental, loudest promises of the Smiled Poland coalition will be thrown into the basket or put distant forever.
We already know that against Tusk's promises money from KPO will not sail to Poland just after the election. All this assurance that 1 or the another conversation will trigger a stream of billions has proved to be a sham. I'm sorry, "metaphore." Suddenly, those who warned us that any of these EU conditions would should be fulfilled. That it's not just a snap of Tusk fingers.
We besides know that There will be no liberalisation of anti-abortion rules. Tusk and Levica announced it loudly, but the 3rd Road is about to veto. PSL MPs, like Marek Sawicki, talk straight about this. True, according to the latest IBRIS study Nearly 65% of voters are in favour of depenalizing abortion, but this is not peculiarly crucial for the duration of this coalition. As always, there are more crucial matters than women's rights. For example, a podcast of Marshal Holownia in the Sejm.
We have besides late learned that there will be no tax-free amount of up to PLN 60 thousand. This was a flagship proposal by the KO, which, as the Members have argued, cannot be implemented due to the timing of the changes to the budget bill. possibly it will win in a year, but – as indicated by OKO.press – the coalitions are against it, and above all the local governments, which will lose the most on it.
A akin destiny is likely to be met by a 0 percent loan. Krzysztof Hetman of the PSL, who is the Minister of Development, says that a “good consensus” must be found, and that “first of all, land must be released”. How can you presume that this release of land, whatever that means, will take time?
There will besides be no better legislative standards, just to combine unrelated issues into a single law and to put it in the Sejm without public consultation. The windstorm is the best example of this. The leaks besides indicate that there won't be many women in the government.
Of course, giving up any run ideas does not should be unfavourable.
The 0 percent credit or the amount free of 60 000 in the form of transfer to the richest ones are not, to put it mildly, the happiest solutions, but in view of the Spring increase in Confederacy's quotations, it was essential to effort to take distant its free marketplace voters. partially it worked – both KO and the 3rd Road. Only now the voters can ask how the promises are going.
So it seems that among the erstwhile opposition, and at any minute of fresh power, there is inactive a lesson to be learned from why the PiS won and why it lost. And he won by fulfilling his promises. Not just any, but the ones that seemed unfulfilled, like 500 plus, the elimination of junior advanced schools, the simplification of retirement age or the cancellation of civilian law contracts. Do you remember how the budget would collapse and Poland would become the second Venezuela and Greece? Nothing like that happened, and PiS got a political boost for years. By breaking his promises, he lost the power race. The unwritten electorate agreement with conservative politicians was not to violate abortion. Kaczyński broke this contract – then the support fell and has not yet managed to reflect in the polls.
It seems that the way indicated by the PiS is simple. If you promised something truly big, you gotta deliver it to the voters. That's it. That's it. Meanwhile, the fresh power does precisely the opposite. He withdraws from the most bearable promises, leaving one: a promise to settle crimes and swindle the PiS. Only in this case, the accounts are not in the hands of politicians alone. Acts of prosecution dependent on the fresh power of the D.A.'s office or politicians-filled investigation commissions are 1 thing. But the second is the courts on which, possibly only after a fewer years, it will depend on who and whether will be liable at all.
Tusk's biggest problem is not his "wild eyes", his Brussels, German or Moscow ties, as they effort to push us in writing. His biggest problem is the deficiency of credibility of the promises made. And alternatively of writing “reliability, fool” over his desk, Tusk starts making all the mistakes he made as Prime Minister the erstwhile time.
In the coming days we will be able to make Tusk another "check". "After winning the elections and after creating a fresh government, we will request precisely 24 hours to make writing, government, public again" - declared during the election campaign. Well, since the government is due to emergence on December 13th, we will already know on December 15th whether, though this promise has been fulfilled, it is another metaphor that the stupid voters did not understand.