According to Luke Warzecha, Karol Nawrocki tries to convince his supporters of economical freedom during the presidential campaign. A candidate with the support of the PiS takes over the slogans typical of the Confederate environment. Competition for liberalism is simply a good sign, according to the publicist.
For the Liberal there were any clear moments during the performance of the programist Karol Nawrocki. 1 peculiarly – erstwhile this 1 presented in points his taxation strategy. It was an apparent effort to enter the territory of Sławomir Mentzen – but that's good. If candidates compete in ideas to reduce and simplify taxes, i.e. to leave more money in taxpayers' pockets, then you can only enjoy. This is no better situation than competition for statism or centralism.
Of the candidates for President, so far only these 2 candidates have presented more comprehensive ideas of taxation reform: Mr Mentzen of the Confederation and Mr Nawrocki, the PiS candidate (called for the "citizen" not known). I will not review these proposals meticulously, especially since the second has just presented his ideas and experts have not yet looked at them.
On the another hand, critical analyses of Mr Mentzen's proposals have already emerged, specified as Company by the “New Deal” environment by Marek Kułakowski. possibly many of the comments it makes are correct, although the final conclusion – indicating net benefits to only a tiny number of affluent taxpayers – is simply a half-step stop. After all, the benefit for better earners will not end with them stuffing their extra money in jars and bricking up the wall. Poland has an investment problem, and more money in the hands of a group of taxpayers is more money to run in the form of investment loans. Additional money in the hands of 1 or another group of consumers besides means expanding demand.
Mr Nawrocki's proposals go in a different direction, more pro-social. Hence the announcement of a zero PIT for people with at least 2 children, or the extension of taxation benefits for family-friendly entrepreneurs on a flat and a linear tax. besides commendable was the announcement of a return to 22% VAT, the liquidation of the Belka tax, or an increase in the limit of the second taxation threshold (although unfortunately not its permanent and automatic valorisation, which should be the standard). All of this sounds good, and in any ways even great.
But – and this is simply a large “but” – there is simply a fundamental problem with credibility. While Mr Mentzen's taxation proposals are actually his proposals, as fresh Hope's leader has been working professionally for years, Mr Nawrocki's taxation proposals have been provided to him by 1 of the teams in the Law and Justice. Just as directed by Mr Janusz Kowalski, as well as another elements of his speech – as a ready to learn. But that's the least of the problems...
The fact is that almost all of these proposals are grossly contrary to the policy pursued by the Law and Justice Office during its 8 years. It is actual that in the second phase of its rule, it yet met the promised increase in the free amount (which was to occur, according to the exposition of Prime Minister Szydło, during the first 100 days of the first word of office), and besides reduced the first taxation rate from 17 to 12% (only from mid-2022). Since the beginning of that year, the threshold of the second taxation threshold from 85 to 120 000 has been yet raised after a very many years, but this is inactive an amount of absurdly low, given that we gotta pay back 1 3rd of the surplus after crossing this limit.
At the same time, however, the Polish order entered into force, charging entrepreneurs and employees with an increased premium on insurance. The increased VAT was introduced in 2011 by Donald Tusk's government “temporaryly for 3 years”. It's never been lowered again. Not much – it was the Laws passed by the Laws that prolonged the "temporary" increased VAT. This was the case in 2016, then in 2018, then under the “covid” law, then in 2022.
Before Mr Nawrock on phase during the convention was the president of the “Solidarity”, Mr Piotr Duda. Is it possible to reconcile the highly social attitude of a large trade union – with which Mr Nawrocki signed an "election contract" in addition – with the implementation of a more liberal line in the economy and finances? I seriously uncertainty it.
Finally, a promise from the PiS candidate came from the phase that he would never sign an increase in retirement age. If these words were taken seriously, not simply as a classical electoral promise without meaning, it would not be a good announcement. Whether we like it or not, demography and state finances simply force the increase of the retirement age, which is now 1 of the lower in Europe, given the 60-year limit for women. In most countries of our continent, even if the retirement age is 65-67 (as for men in our country), it is identical for both sexes.
It is clear that it is not the president who shapes the state's financial, economical and taxation policies. However, it has a legislative initiative tool – Mr Nawrocki, like Mr Mentzen, announces that it will usage it – and can besides effort to influence the government in various ways. However, it would be crucial for the changes to be made if the president could number on the support of his own political camp in the Sejm for the changes announced today. That's the problem.
Mr Mentzen – purely theoretically speaking, due to the fact that his entry into the second circular inactive remains a little likely variant – is improbable to have a Confederate Parliament as the largest club after the next election. Would he gather support for another formations for his ideas – it is impossible to say today.
Mr.Nawrocki, in turn, in optimal conditions – and assuming that the PiS lasts as a unity – could have the support of the largest seismic political force, only that the forces, which in its current configuration refers straight to the social paradigm or the socialist paradigm (the working socialist thought is present in the PiS!) – as he thundered during the 2019 election run in Siemianowice Śląski. In comparison with the profile of PiS and its voters, Mr Nawrocki's proposals, nevertheless interesting, sounded like from another dimension.
Luke Warches
