In order to end a war, 1 needs to realize its socio-economic, political and ideological causes, to look for the goals of the fighting parties and to consider whether and to what degree they have been achieved, and if not, whether there is further sense of the conflict for the pre-designated goals.
War, as is commonly known, is simply a continuation of military policy by means. But in conditions of globalization, war is straight and indirectly international, and military triumph on the front requires political designation on the global stage, standardisation and improvement of global economical and financial relations. Russia is aware of the global circumstances of this war, so its seemingly limited and inconsistent military actions do not come to realize many afraid citizens.
The Russian-Ukrainian War is simply a circumstantial war, it is said to be the beginning of transformation wars. The effects can be far-reaching and find social improvement for the next 100 or more years. In the face of the industrial and technological revolution, this war is about fresh sources of natural materials, about fresh capital locations, about fresh communication routes, about the workforce, about the outlets. The war is besides about eliminating U.S. hegemony, about changing the global settlement strategy and recognising the political and economical multipolarity of the world.
The causes of the Russian-Ukrainian war are not solely in the relations of these 2 countries. If so, the initialized Istanbul agreement of April 2022 would have been signed. Meanwhile, it was adequate to visit the then Prime Minister of large Britain Boris Johnson. to Ukraine to convince the squad Vladimir Zelenski to reject these agreements and proceed the war. In this example, we can see how the causes of this war have changed, or actually only revealed their global character. What seemed to be a problem of bilateral relations has grown into global problems. Putin's squad was ready to make crucial concessions to Ukraine, but now it seems that the time of the Istanbul agreements has passed irretrievably. In order for peace to prevail, all must realize that neither Russia, nor Ukraine, nor the United States, nor Europe will be as they have been after this war. However, this lesson is very costly and requires, as we can see, many victims.
All people of good will and people of work who do not think to enrich themselves in war, but to live, work and develop, have children and rise them – they dream of surviving in peace, ending war. due to the fact that war is simply a continuation of interior policy by military methods, peace can be concluded erstwhile either organization achieves its objectives or erstwhile it understands that it no longer has the strength and the objectives it will not accomplish in the existing situation.
The specificity of the ongoing war is that the fighting or conflicting states are headed by financial oligarchy, and over all the strongest positions are held by the United States oligarchy. The war, therefore, is fought in an oligarchy way, that is, the lives of private soldiers are not specifically priced and the civilian population frequently serves as a hostage and a surviving shield. Russia was carrying out very dense offensive actions in the Kiev, Kharkiv and Kherson area, after which the Russian troops were forced to withdraw, but not as a consequence of military disasters, just due to the fact that any agreement was made and withdrawal was to be confirmed by Russia "good will". And now we're gonna gotta get them again. Russia did not destruct bridges, railway tracks, airports, tv stations, it did not impede the flow of goods from Ukraine, hoping for akin reliefs. In Russia, it was believed that the equipment supplied would be destroyed in the “field of combat” alternatively than in places of transportation from abroad. This may have had its reasons, but it gave emergence to suspicion that the lives of its soldiers were not counted. The West, in turn, gradually supplied more and more weapons and a newer generation, as if it did not want to defeat Russia, but only weaken it, but adequate to origin an interior political conflict in Russia and disengage from power Vladimir Putin.
The course of military action following Ukraine's failed counteroffensive in 2023 shows that Russia will now find the conditions for peace signing, that is, after reaching its political objectives, it will lead to the denazification and demilitarisation of Ukraine. The Russian authorities will most likely not enter into agreements with Zelenski's crew due to the fact that the deadline for its legitimacy has expired, and it has not taken advantage of its chance to keep peace relations with Russia and is liable for sinking the Ukrainian people into the abyss of war. In addition, Zelenski's squad placed statutory barriers through peace talks with Russia. It led to hundreds of thousands killed, the failure of the most valuable arable land, the country's debt for decades. She has completely lost her sovereignty and the Russian authorities do not take her proposal to return to the 1991 borders seriously.
After Biden's crew provided the Ukraine with ATACAMS and PATRIOT missiles, and the British STORM SHADOW, and leaked material as German generals openly planned an attack on the Crimean Bridge, Scott Ritter proposed that Russia endanger the support countries Ukraine closes the sky over Ukraine, destroys any aircraft landing with western weapons for Ukraine, and that it will not let any abroad delegation to land at the Kiev airport. Russia should request the withdrawal from Ukraine of any Western mercenaries and military equipment specialists. The West, according to Ritter, understands only specified language...
As a consequence of many years of sanctions, Russia is in specified a position that it fights not only for its interests. Russia is now fighting to change global relations, to destruct the single-polar planet with the U.S. hegemony, for a fresh global settlement system. It should not be that a country that has the essential production resources and inexhaustible energy resources cannot make and belong to a group of rich countries. Meanwhile, the global settlement strategy has a neocolonial character and the "green revolution" implemented serves to consolidate this trend.
When Russia began to take advantage of the front in the second half of 2023, peace agreements should not be rushed. Liberal environments in Russia and the US would be willing to return to Istanbul agreements and start a fresh circular of negotiations. This is simply a perverse proposal and aimed at gaining a "breath" for the Ukrainian and Western army. This is besides the function of the proposal to recognise Russia's conquests as the price of accepting Ukraine to NATO. Experience with the proposal of the Curzona Line during the Polish-Bolshevik War, reported by the British government at the time of the Red Army offensive to the west and the Polish army's kneeling. It was about stopping the Red Army on the Bug line. But erstwhile the “miracle over the Vistula” occurred, the proposal was immediately forgotten. If individual now cites the Istanbul Agreements as a basis for negotiations, he does not realize that their content has become inappropriate to the global political situation resulting from the victims and costs incurred.
History has provided many examples of large military victories and lost peace agreements. It is not adequate to win militarily, but to seal the triumph with favourable global political and economical conditions. Peace must be universally desired by both sides. Therefore, there is no rush to make peace. It must not be allowed through unfavorable peace to decision on to the agenda over the victims. Therefore, the time of the Istanbul agreements and Zelenski's crew will not return. erstwhile peace is signed, safety must be ensured for the fighting parties and countries active in this conflict.
The question arises about what is the basis of the current safety of all country in Central Europe? In order to answer this question, 1 must first answer another questions: are the threat (its source) in Central Europe or outside Europe? The main threat to countries in Europe, and especially in Central Europe, is the deficiency of sovereignty in taking their decisions in interior and abroad policy. applicable demilitarisation, deindustrialisation and dependence on supplies from abroad have occurred. In order to reconstruct the sovereignty of the countries of Europe, which is the basis for their security, it is essential, first of all, to reconstruct their sovereignty, to break out from the dominance of the United States, whose ambassadors are present to governments in Central Europe as governors. It is about restoring military, political and social security. safety should be based on reindustrialisation, in peculiar of the countries of Central Europe, where tens of thousands of production facilities have been liquidated, calculated on local natural materials and markets and on neighbouring countries. It is not easy, it will be a long and costly process, but necessary...
You can see that the Russian-Ukrainian War is simply a proxy war between Russia and the West... It is not a “proxy” war, it is simply a war on the scale that is needed for global corporations. This is not the war that started in 2014. It is simply a war for the future form of capitalism and the destiny of capitalism itself. Nor is it the war to make a “buffer zone” between East and West. This is simply a war for the form of future global cooperation and the function of the countries of Central Europe in it, which can gain much only by being sovereign and independent from the interests of global corporations. Now. Lew Trocki erstwhile he negotiated the Brest peace treaty with Germany, contrary to Lenin's directive, he informed the German authorities that the russian government would not sign the peace treaty with Germany on the conditions they put in place, but at the same time he would end military action and demobilize the military. Lew Trocki believed that specified a decision, “not war nor peace”, would lead to radicalisation of the working class of Western Europe. Trotsky's mistake came to pay with blood.
Unfortunately, the Polish government conducts a suicidal and destructive policy for the Polish people. It is supported by the communist political elite. The situation is even more compromising for the renegades of the Polish left, which could not formulate its own position towards the ongoing war, but accepted the communicative of the European Union imposed by the United States and large arms corporations.
Dr Edward Karolczuk
photo izvietia.ru
Think Poland, No. 21-22 (19-26.05.2024)
