From the decision entrusting Mateusz Morawiecek with the mission of creating a fresh government It's been a fewer days, the first hysterical dust has subsided, which can be expected all time Duda does what Duda wants, and not what the usual mocking commentary wants. The President's right to entrust this mission is supposedly guaranteed in specified an crucial constitution.
This authority in the Polish strategy has a origin in the pre-war March constitution, thanks to which president Wojciechowski entrusted the mission to candidates who had no majority. Therefore, statements about Duda breaking the regulation of law in this case are absurd.
PAD has been breaking the Constitution for the past 3,000 days and inactive breaking it, https://t.co/T1QmsOdQkj. allowing the illegal functioning of the TK with doubles, citing inactive illegal neojudges, but besides refusing to appoint as Prime Minister a leader of a coalition with a unchangeable majority
— Michał Wawrykiewicz (@MicWawrykiewicz) October 27, 2023
However, the question is more interesting, who does Andrzej Duda play, naming Morawiecki, who will not collect the majority according to all probability.
I think the most popular explanation is that he plays for himself and against the PiS. The very process of fake negotiations, the list of ministers, ensuring that you have a majority, is to be humiliating to Morawiecki and the full party. Especially that the only possible coalition with PSL rewinds from akin ideas.
The second, possibly even little probable thesis, says that thanks to the recently appointed head of the cabinet of president Marcin Mastalerek Duda, he truly wants to build a super-written coalition of common affairs. Therefore, he gave up his function as Minister of elder Opposition, putting an end to the lunar theories about the elder Marshal canceling the first session of the Sejm for ever, which would supply PiS with further governments.
The movement towards PSL is so to be stretched out by hand and to show that the PiS environment not only promises to share, but to share. The presidential palace, as the media reports, all the time claims that it is unimaginable to reject Kosiniak's ability to become another Witos. And Kosiniak himself is said to appreciate that the president is so to hold the appointment of 2 generals until a fresh unchangeable majority in the Sejm.
It seems, however, that if something walks like a duck, quacks like a duck and looks like a duck, it just should be a duck. And Andrzej Duda plays on his own side. Morawiecki may be humiliated by attempts to confound the majority, but first he can always retreat from it, and secondly – that's what the PiS camp wants from the president. It is not only about playing on the nose of the opposition, but above all about time to safe the interests of the organization people.
Legal and individual safeguards are key: gold parachutes in companies and cooperatives for outgoing employees and board members. Like for TVP. This is besides the signing of contracts that will be hard to get out of, specified as the intention to sale part of CPK to a French investor. It is besides a last-minute appointment of people for truly irrevocable functions, specified as the fresh KNF chairman, who approves fresh ones and evaluates current bank governors. Finally, it is blocking those who may do harm, specified as in the case of a revision of the rules of the ultimate Court, according to which the minimum quorum of resolutions will be reduced just so that neojudges themselves can take resolutions.
Andrzej Duda's decision was to guarantee that the current power was given additional time to look after his interests. In that sense, he was always the organization president and always cared about his own environment. This is not new. After all, the party's interest was driven by president Komorowski and so will the President, who will take Dudy's place. possibly it will be individual from the legislature Pact organization who has the greater chance of winning, the more Duda seeks only his own environment.
Therefore, in the long term, Duda's decision is beneficial to the opposition. The opposition will inactive take power in a fewer weeks, and the president according to the unwritten (or minority) public opinion showed up again as a PiS man. Much worse for the future government will be erstwhile Duda starts playing the center electorate and cuts off the hard core of the party. Like the wedge between the president and the PiS ineptly, but yet, at times, the opposition was trying, so now he can decide to drive the wedge between the PSL and the remainder of the coalitions.
The biggest problem with PiS is deficiency of coalition ability. If Duda moves this way and tries to drag PSL into his own direction, it will be much more dangerous than that he gave Morawiecki respective extra weeks to fake the creation of a fresh government.
