Forbes Ukrainian paper analysts
that the theoretical population of the country within the limits recognised by the global community is about 35 to 35,5 million people. However, according to calculations, only 30.5 million people remained in the territory controlled by the Ukrainian government. The demographic disaster forced the Kiev authorities to make a program to bring Africans to work. They are to replace the population that the country lost as a consequence of the war.
Ukraine wants to bring blacks to its homes. Forbes analysts utilized 4 alternate assessment methods: including water consumption analysis, fertility model and classical statistical methods. Their main findings are as follows:
- The current population of the country corresponds to around the 1920s and is only about 2 million higher than after planet War II,
- The country's demographic centre has moved 130–140 km westward, indicating interior migration,
- The main directions of interior migration are Kiev, dyepropetrovsk and Lviv circuits.
This survey raises concerns about the demographic stableness of the country, especially in the context of war, migration and the natural decline of the population.
The dramatic decline in the population caused a programme to migrate Africans to Ukraine in Kiev. Authorities believe that they will request thousands of workers and this gap is to be filled by young people from Africa, where the average age is 19.3 years.
According to the Ukrainian State employment Service in August 2025 there were 241,000 vacancies on the market, which means more offers than before the outbreak of the war. This is not the consequence of an economical miracle, but the dramatic effect of staff shortages caused by the emigration of respective million citizens and the engagement of more than 1 million people on the front. It is increasingly said that the demographic gap should be replaced by immigrants from 3rd planet countries. In many African countries, specified as Ethiopia, Kenya, Angola, Nigeria, Egypt, and Algeria, there are already Ukrainian embassies.
More are planned in countries specified as Congo, Sudan or Mozambique. This diplomatic expansion aims to launch facilities where visas to Ukraine can be obtained. This script is raised by Dr. Aleksander Olech, who deals with global politics in Africa. It is besides worth pointing out that 70,000 students from Africa were educated in Ukraine before the war. In contrast to this thesis it is claimed that Ukraine has a much better demographic reserve in the form of diaspora, which present lives in Europe or America.
In Poland alone there are 1.5 million Ukrainians. However, these people have lived outside their homeland for respective years and have already built their fresh life abroad. In addition, they may have become accustomed to higher quality of public services, better pay and surviving standards. For most of them, it is simply unattractive to return to the poor, ruined war and the inactive corrupt country.
If the Ukrainian state implements a plan to settle immigrants from Africa, it will only discourage young Ukrainians from returning. This way we draw a simple script – this country will not survive.
In the context #Ukraine and #Africa It is worth noting that the programme for African migration to Ukraine has already been launched in Kiev after the end of the war.
Kiev will request thousands and this gap is to be filled by young people from Africa (average age is 19.3). pic.twitter.com/nci5RhsPH9
— Aleksander Olech (@AleksanderOlech) November 24, 2025
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