Sławomir Mentzen is most likely not a supporter of shortening the work week, but it is thanks to him that the political superweekend, last before the second circular of the presidential election, began on Thursday. It was opened by an interview by Sławomir Mentzen with Karol Nawrocki. On Friday there was a tv debate between both candidates, on Saturday – Mentzen's interview with Rafal Trzaskowski. On Sunday, both candidates invited their supporters to the summit in Warsaw.
Superweekend definitely utilized Trzaskowski better. president of Warsaw won Friday's tv debate with Karol Nawrocki - For points, no knockout. The march in the capital supporting him was much larger than the 1 convened by the president of the IPN. Trzaskowski gave his best speech in this run at the end of the campaign. The KO candidate besides did much better at gathering Mentzen.
It is not known only if it is adequate to balance the clear, hostile government's emotions revealed by the results of the first round. We have almost 5 more days of run to keep the election quiet. At this time, many things can happen that cover Trzaskovsky's profits from the superweekend.
A beer to measurement the campaign?
Of all the events of the superweekend, talks with Mentzen and beer, which ended with 1 of them – which shows how much the leader of the Confederate built in this campaign.
During his gathering with Mentzen, Trzaskowski accepted the only sensible tactic: he did not beg for support, he did not effort to convince that he agreed with everything, only with respect to the interlocutor he made a conversation, in respective places assertively marking the difference. Unfortunately, this assertiveness was not adequate to get Mentzen into a substantive taxation dispute.
Trzaskowski, like Nawrocki, supported the harmful, populist promise of "no fresh taxes". It could simply be said that in the current geopolitical situation no 1 liable for the state can commit to not introducing fresh taxes – due to the fact that we do not know what the state's needs will be in 3 years. This could convince even any highly reluctant Mentzen voters.
Trzaskowski did much better erstwhile he defended LGBT+ community, a fresh building Museum of Modern Art in Warsaw, sexual education at school or prospects for Ukraine's future presence in NATO. He was able to sensibly argue the Confederate “healthy peasant reason” with respect to the interviewer and the audience.
However, more political importance than talking to Mentzen may be gained by beer which, after its completion, the Confederate leader drank in his Toruń pub with the president of the capital and Radek Sikorski, who posted on social platforms documenting this video signed “for Poland that connects, does not divide”.
The video caused any hysteria on the right. The PiS-owski opinion leaders, especially those connected to the portal in Politicia, began to accuse Mentzen of naivety, play by Sikorski, enter the salon, yet betray. They're here. comparison to Prince Janusz Radziwiłł – a magnate who subjected Lithuania to the Swedes during the Flood – and Chargesthat if Trzaskowski wins, the leader of the Confederation will be liable for the “extermination of the right”, which will then be done. Mentzen besides survived the rebellion in his own ranks, the beer outraged his own organization allies, especially those from the Confederate national wing. It must have been rough, due to the fact that on Sunday night Mentzen published statement, where he explains that he was simply invited for a beer, so he went, that it did not mean that he was supporting anyone, and in the conversation he indicated how much he disagrees with Trzaskowski.
In the best script of Trzask, the assertive attitude in the discussion with Mentzen will remind the progressive electorate why to vote for him, and the beer with Mentzen will demobilize the Confederate electorate, showing him that Trzaskowski is not specified a terrible devil as the PiS propaganda presents him. Hysteria around beer, accusations against Mentzen and an effort to force Nawrocki's support by the Confederate with the most publically heard blackmail in Karnowskie media may further disorient and demobilize Mentzen's electorate.
On the another hand, beer may discourage the left from being disgusted with the behaviour that tames the utmost right, and what Mr Trzaskowski said in his interview with Mentzen – to mobilize the Confederate electorate around Trzaskowski. There are even theories that Sikorski specifically pushed Trzaskowski into the mine to set himself up in the starting field after his defeat to fight for succession in Tusk.
One thing is certain: if Trzaskowski wins, the Sikorski movement with beer will be praised as a political masterpiece to suit the presidency. And if, by the way, he causes a civilian war that weakens the Confederate, even the electorate together will applaud him.
Snus and sequels
Nawrocki accepted a completely different maneuver with Mentzen than Trzaskowski. He stood for complete submission, to the speech of pleading supplication, the attitude of a submissive petent. Watching him in Toruń, I couldn't defy the associations with the fragment Gulliver's travels, in which our hero arrives in the kingdom of Traldragdubb, where the court ritual commands that the individual coming before the ruler ask for “the honor of licking the dust from his footstool.” "This is the court style, and I found that these are not just worshipful words, due to the fact that after I was appointed to audition ... I was ordered to crawl on my tummy and lick the level as I approached. But that I was a foreigner, it was ensured that the level was clean and dust was not causing me any distress" (rev. Maciej Słomczyński) – Gulliver reports.
I don't know if the level in Toruń was clean, but Nawrocki, agreeing to everything before Mentzen asked him to do so, was unfortunate. In the electorate of the Confederate – with his obsession with hierarchy, dominance, oration, being a sigma – this spectacle of humiliation will surely not build respect for Nawrock. Nawrocki, however, did not go to Toruń for respect and for votes. A large proportion of Confederate voters may consider that as President, he gives them guarantees of fulfilling crucial demands for them.
Mentzen besides had the issue of Nawrocki's participation in the Kibolian settings. It is not something that can harm him in his own electorate. At the same time, this can mobilise any of the disheartened coalition voters on October 15, for whom, despite all disappointment with the current government, the president beating himself up in the woods in the company of people later convicted of serious crimes is an exaggeration.
Nawrocki was worse than Trzaskowski in Friday's debate between 2 candidates. Everything she said covered up the PiS candidate's gesture, which could have been read like pulling something up her nose. As we later learned, there was swas, tobacco to put under the gum.
Since Friday, the media has been debating whether a possible president likes this, whether Nawrocki's addiction is presidential, which Nawrocki actually utilized on the air, whether it was a boost stronger and little legal than tobacco. There were even theories that all 5D chess of Nawrocki's staff – a motion with a dream is expected to throw drugs into the run and force drug tests on both candidates, which would be a problem for the candidate KO. The debate on TVP, however, was not Nawrocki's first performance, during which he utilized something.
After the weekend, however, it is improbable that the public would anticipate any tests to be carried out by Trzaskowski, and the discussion around the snow is surely not beneficial for Nawrocki.
So far, it's a tie.
On Sunday, Trzaskowski gave a very good speech at the Warsaw Square of the Constitution. He spoke about Poland, where there is simply a place for everyone, helping those who do not cope, active in the implementation of ambitious, developmental projects, due to the fact that we request – as he fantasized – “our flight to the moon”. The atmosphere of the march corresponded to these words. She besides contrasted with the speech of Nawrocki's speech and march – angry, paranoid, full of aggression and fear.
If Trzaskowski had campaigned this way, he would not have specified problems today. However, it looked different: uninspired, conservative, at the worst times cyclically and unauthentically. Also, the KO candidate was not assisted by a policy supporting him, which failed many voters on October 15. present they respond to the most thrilling speeches with cynical resignation.
Trzaskowski utilized well last weekend to face these problems. He scored a contact gate. Those afraid about the results of last Sunday received an injection of hope in the last 4 days. But at best, it's a tie now. It's not determined who wins.
