When Andrés Manuel López Obrador (also known as AMLO) took office in 2018, it was a tiny revolution for a Latin American country. By the turn of the century, Mexico remained a de facto one-party government under which the Revolutionary and organization organization (PRI) held undivided power – erstwhile a leftist and romanticist group with socialism, full accepted neoliberalism in the 1980s.
This sparked the revolt of the left wing of the power organization and as a consequence the 1988 elections brought the first real fight for the presidency. A popular Cuauhtémoc Cárdenas, boy of the erstwhile president, appeared against the PRI candidate. Counterfeiting at the urns stopped his victory, but the sole power strategy was undermined and disassembled in the following years – only that the PRI preferred to open up to cooperation with the Conservative National Action organization (PAN) alternatively than descend from the liberal course. The left of her chance came only 30 years after the rigged elections.
The president is leaving against the will of the nation
In the case of López Obrador, the rule of "up to 3 times the art" came actual after 2 defeats (including only half a percent point lost in 2006) as he won a decisive triumph by becoming president for a six-year term, while his organization Morena (The National Revival Movement) gained a majority with the coalitions in the home of Deputies.
AMLO governments can be regarded as emanating from leftist populism – the Mexican president combined anti-elitarianism and the promise of social advancement with the slogans of national sovereignty and a policy geared to spectacle. Each working day starts at 7:00 a.m. with a two-hour press conference, which opens the full vigor of “Animo!” (rescourage!), maintaining a semi-formal atmosphere of conversation with voters. He built the image of a leader close to the people, besides through frequent usage of referendums – whether home or inside Morena, which retains many features of the social movement.
The populist form did not cover the content. Through social transfers millions of people were drawn out of poverty, purchasing power of little prosperous Mexicans increased, and the economical effects of the pandemic crisis were thus little felt. Although the administration of Morena is sometimes accused of neglecting education or healthcare systems, the overall improvement in the surviving situation of most citizens is undeniable.
In January of that year, precisely 5 years after AMLO took office, the polls indicated that The president enjoys as much as 69 percent of the countrymen. More than half of the citizens believe that the country is heading in the right direction, with little than a 3rd of the people in the other direction. All this makes candidate Morena the favourite in the upcoming election.
Competition for the title of First president of Mexico
Speaking of Claudia Sheinbaum, who served as politician of the Capital territory before winning the coalition primary. The same office was erstwhile held by AMLO itself, which helped him in his later efforts for a presidency in the country. The left-wing candidate has been supporting her mentor from the start and promises to proceed her current policy, with a further expansion of the social state, based on the rule of income redistribution towards unprivileged groups.
Sheinbaum's possible weakness may be her intelligent background – she is the daughter of dormitories, and she has herself done her PhD in energy engineering. The question is whether she can establish a close relation with the folk electorate, effectively nursed by López Obrador. On the another hand, Sheinbaum has a better chance of reaching the mediate class, which was affected by the populist rhetoric of AMLO and its limited commitment to ecology and feminism.
However, the fact is that the ongoing presidential word has brought large advancement on the rights of women and LGBT people – the decriminalisation and legalisation of abortion have forced the ultimate Court's judgments; and social pressure, while López Obrador himself preferred not to interfere besides much in this "cultural conflict". The President's environmental policy is besides questionable, ignoring climate targets and above the protection of rainforests, which puts peculiar emphasis on infrastructure development, which was peculiarly evident in the project. Tren Maya Yucatana. Sheinbaum, erstwhile a investigator at the IPCC, is forecasting a much greater commitment to combating climate change.
However, if the candidate Morena ran over a pregnant nun on the lanes and lost the election, the office of the president would go to the female anyway, due to the fact that Sheinbaum's main rival is XXchitl Gálvez. It was followed by a coalition of PRI, PAN and PRD, i.e. the erstwhile organization of power, its neoliberal successor, and its centre-left group, which grew in opposition to PRI and was erstwhile the political base of AMLO. The confusing situation on the Mexican political scene is further compounded by the fact that in any respects Gálvez is trying to take the presidential camp from the left.
When the right speaks left
The incumbent president and his protégé attack Gálvez as a candidate for a unified establishment, and hence: a horse of Trojan neoliberalism, which the Mexicans rejected in 2018. The first is the fact and Gálvez will not escape this label, but with the patch of an elite typical struggles fiercely. Her individual biography, which is simply a communicative of a species, helps her. “from a boot to a millionaire”.
Born in a mediocre household with an alcoholic father, she had to work as a child, without anyone's aid she got an education and founded a company that was successful in the market. Despite being a conservative associate of the Polish Academy of Sciences, it itself occupies progressive positions, supporting women's rights and attacking AMLO for besides small green policy. erstwhile the president attributed Gálvez the desire to bury his social policy, she accused him of defamation and won. Although the anti-presidential coalition would not find a better candidate, it inactive has an highly hard task ahead of it. At the moment, it is expected that Sheinbaum will receive as much as 60 percent of the votes, and Gálvez about 35 percent, which inactive represents an improvement in relation to the polls a fewer months ago.
In order to avoid political suicide, the opposition avoids straight attacking Morena's social reforms in a campaign, accusing her of defeat combating drug cartels and weakening Mexican democracy – in February there were mass protests against planned changes in the functioning and backing of judicial institutions. The rightfulness of Gálvez sometimes comes to the top, e.g. with the demands of privatising part of public property, but there is besides a promise to grow access to wellness care, which besides appears in the Sheinbaum programme.
On the margins of the clash of 2 politicians is Jorge Álvarez Máynez, a candidate for the centre-left Civic Movement, who, erstwhile presenting moral liberalism and progressiveism, tries to scope especially younger voters, but remains restrained in attacking the ruling organization and its accomplishments.
The fact that the banner reforms of Morena are mostly not the subject of dispute in the ongoing run shows, How far Mexico has gone in the last 5 years. The biggest merit of the AMLO presidency is the deep shaking of the Mexican political strategy and imposing on it a left-wing paradigm. At present, even the right is fighting for better public services, bidding with the left for a social offer. On this subject, however, Morena's candidate seems more credible, and this should guarantee Claudia Sheinbaum becomes the first president of Mexico.
