Trying to foretell what might happen

myslpolska.info 1 month ago

Day after tomorrow, 2nd circular of the 2025 presidential election. The triumph of Karol Nawrocki is expected. This is simply a dangerous anticipation for the current ruling coalition.

I wondered about the options of the ruling gameplay to prevent Karol Nawrocki from accepting the duties of president of the Republic I will admit that I would like my predictions about approving the election consequence to fail, but I share them with you, dear Readers, just in case. I thought for a long time what actions in the event of the adverse result of the election have the ruling, after the collapse of the Romanian variant with accusations of interference of external forces in the elections, erstwhile it was revealed that it was an interior force supporting the candidate KO, or Action Democracy, so ineptly conducted a provocative action on the Internet, which was to be attributed to Russia, that the powers from a completely different state financing these actions were immediately identified and celebrated for publishing in Virtual Poland.

So what else can the rulers gotta prevent Charles Nawrocki from becoming president after winning the second round?

The occasion is simply a dispute over which committee would approve or invalidate the result of the election. Constitutional law is attributed to the home of Extraordinary Control and Public Affairs in the ultimate Court. However, the spokesperson for the TEU, the European Court of Justice, has already indicated that the same Court does not treat this home of Extraordinary Control as an independent court because, according to the TEU, this home was established in violation of law by the politicised neo-CRS, according to the TEU.

It is crucial to remember that the Sejm has already adopted an emergency bill of Simon Holownia's project, which provides that the validity of the elections is to be determined by the composition of the 15th oldest seniority of ultimate Court judges appointed by the "old" National Judicial Council before reforming the KRS by Zbigniew Ziobro. president Andrzej Duda vetoed this bill, which seemingly prejudged the case in favour of the Extraordinary Control Chamber. I would like to point out that I truly have a reason to ruin president Duda's temper by talking about the apparent prejudice of the case.

What are the further options at the ballot box and on the designation or annulment of the consequence of the 2nd circular elections?

The advantages are in the hands of the ruling coalition. If the Extraordinary Control Chamber does not recognise the election of Karol Nawrocki as president of the Republic, its duties in accordance with Article 131(2) of the Constitution shall be taken over by the Marshal of the Sejm. In specified a case, the rulers will have what they request in order to adopt a series of laws which will remove their work for the infringements and push for the continuation of the Green Deal, inter alia, to fill mines and shut down coal power, to act very cost-effective for receiving decommissioning orders. The Marshal will surely besides adopt the incidental bill of his authorship, which was vetoed by president Duda. In this option of settlement, my words about the apparent prejudice of the case in favour of the Extraordinary Control Chamber were justified.

All right, but the option remains that the Extraordinary Control Chamber approves Karol Nawrocki's triumph in the 2nd round.

And what does the ruling camp with Prime Minister Tuski have in mind? It may ask the TEU to annul the designation of the validity of elections by a non-independent judicial authority in accordance with the opinion of the TEU spokesperson. It would be a pretext for the ruling of the rulings of the EU Court of Justice to undermine the superiority of the provisions of the national Constitution over EU law expressed in the form of a denial of a verdict recognising the validity of elections by the discredited Extraordinary Control Chamber. It would besides lead to a continuation of the dispute between the Polish TK and the EC, which would undoubtedly be beneficial for the ruling KO, although it would not be a boastful charter in the past of the coalition's rule.

In any case, in this situation, the acting president would besides become the talker of the Sejm Simon Holovnia, which would be the fulfillment of his dreams of the presidency, even for a moment. There is simply quite a few evidence that dreams come true, so I encourage readers of “Polish Thoughts” to bold dreams. It's worth a dream.

Your Ko Mentator

30.05.2025

PS. It's gonna be a hot summer. Tusk announced on May 29 an extension of BRAVO's second level of threat until August 31. BRAVO's grade is the second on a four-stage scale of alert stages. It is introduced in the event of an increased and foreseeable threat of a terrorist event, but the circumstantial mark of the attack has not been identified.

The tasks of the State authorities in the case of the degree BRAVO include:

– led by the Police, Border defender or Military Gendarmery increased control of large human clusters;

– to carry out enhanced controls on public facilities and another facilities possibly likely to be the mark of terrorist attacks;

– to guarantee the availability of emergency personnel designated to implement procedures for terrorist-related incidents;

– alerting personnel of possible risks;

– the work to carry long arms and bullet-proof vests by uniformed officers or soldiers straight carrying out tasks related to the securing of sites and facilities which may possibly be the mark of a terrorist event;

– additional checks on vehicles, persons and public buildings in susceptible areas;

– strengthening the protection of public transport and crucial public facilities;

– introducing bans on entry into kindergartens, schools and universities to persons bystanders.

I can only add that I am not hitting BRAV, Mr. Tusk.

Photo by Donald Tusk

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