Let me for a minute stand in a scope of experts and geo strategists specified as Dr. Jacek Bartosiak, Dr. Wojciech Szewko, Krzysztof Wojczal or Marek Budzisz and I will take the courageous thesis that the war in Ukraine will come to an end. Everything has its beginning and its end. The water is wet, butter is butter. We just don't know erstwhile the end is coming and what happens next?
Former Deputy Minister of Defence, certified Lieutenant General Waldemar Skrzypczak a year ago stated that the Russians were pursuing remnants of force and the war with Ukraine would end in 2 or 3 days.
Major General, Dr. Roman Polko says: “The Ukrainians have shown that this “second army of the world” is simply a story from the defilade—demoralized, private armies, bandits, rapists, murderers who lose on the battlefield, so bombard and execution civilians.” erstwhile asked how long this conflict will take Gen. Polko stated: “It is hard to prophesy, but I hope that within 2-3 years this fierce conflict will be closed by displacing Russians from occupied territories and it is worth noting that no 1 wants in the Kremlin, in Moscow, to clogging the Ukrainian or Natovian banner. What NATO wants to do is to support Ukraine logistically so that it retains its territorial integrity." Gen. Polko put forward a very interesting thesis: “With this craziness, it must be over, and I am convinced that there is nothing to fear, that with the support of China too, Russia will gotta surrender. Why China? due to the fact that China will not accept what Putin is trying to scare. China, India will not accept the usage of weapons of mass destruction, and this is the only thing that Putin has left and that he is inactive trying to blackmail the West."
Professor Romuald Sheremietiev, erstwhile Deputy Minister of Defence, said in an interview with the “Poland Times”: “There are positional fights on the front, we have a stalemate. I think the spring of this year will be the time erstwhile the Ukrainian army will go into counteroffensive and displace the Russians from subsequent lands occupied by them. However, to do this, Ukrainians must receive dense offensive weapons." In the same interview Prof. Sheremitiev predicts that Ukraine will win the war with Russia in the spring or summertime of 2023.
“Do you believe that the Ukrainian side is able to win this war this year?
This is not a question of faith, it is simply a consequence of the conclusions that can be drawn from the conflict so far. Therefore, in my opinion, the Ukrainian army is able to win the war. I had anticipated at all, and nothing had happened to change my opinion that this war should have ended in the spring-summer of 2023 after the Ukrainian Army's winning counteroffensive.”
As you can see, experts agree! Russia will lose the war. Ukraine will regain its lost territory, and Russia will be marginalized and likely to fall apart. I am not an expert, I have no technological titles, I did not service in the military, but as a layman I will let myself to be bold and express my opinion. I hope the experts don't mind?
GDP Ukraine in 2015 was $91 billion US, in 8 years, despite the war with Russia, there was an economical miracle and already in 2022 GDP Ukraine rose to $200 billion US dollars. This is simply a GDP increase of 119% over 8 years! Ukraine has become an economical tiger of east Europe, unfortunately the media are silent about this fact. No wonder prof. Sheremietiev knows that Ukraine will win the war! What would it be if Poland could scope a GDP increase of 100% in 8 years?! I got a small dreamy.
All experts agree that the assistance to Ukraine provided by the Western coalition is insufficient and must be increased. The U.S. military aid to Ukraine, counted since the outbreak of the war, is about $50 billion.
As I mentioned earlier, Ukraine's GDP in 2015 was $91 billion. In comparison, the U.S. Congress, on 29 September 2022, approved military aid for Poland amounting to $288.6 million US dollars. Thus, military aid for Poland is virtually 0.57% of the military aid that the US provided to Ukraine! By comparison, those libation bums have more alcohol in their blood, and I'm not gonna mention the recordists in pouring sticks. This gross disparity of the allocation of funds should give the Poles much to think about. It is estimated that Polish military aid to Ukraine in 2022 amounted to around $1.7 billion. Poland's defence spending is estimated at $13.5 billion. I am not amazed by the experts that they think Ukraine will win this war. Everyone knows you can beat any problem with a sack of money. It is simply a fact of course!
Israel and Egypt are the largest recipients of financial aid from the US government. In 2020, Israel received about $3.5 billion in financial assistance, while Egypt received around $1.5 billion. The financial assistance that the United States provides to Egypt is decreasing year by year. In 2022 it was just $173 million, and Israel only received $5.25 million. (Source:https://www.foreignassistance.gov/ ).
In order not to be blunt, I will quote authoritative U.S. government records.
Financial assistance to Israel for 2020
Financial assistance to Israel for 2022
Financial assistance to Egypt for 2020
Financial assistance to Egypt for 2022
Financial assistance to Ukraine for 2020
Financial assistance to Ukraine for 2022
Financial assistance to Poland for 2020
Financial assistance to Poland for 2022
I will inform the critics of the data I cited – I am aware that they are random and require deeper analysis. However, they clearly show Poland's marginal position in US politics.
Please note that according to the data provided by https://www.statista.com/US aid to Ukraine has been divided into 3 categories: Financial EUR 25.11 billion, Humanitarian EUR 3.72 billion and Military EUR 44.34 billion. aid for civilians is marginal! A man in this war doesn't matter. Human life has absolutely no meaning for decision makers.
The reallocation of US funds from Israel and Egypt to Ukraine is obvious. This fact clearly illustrates that the U.S. replacement war in Ukraine is simply a immense burden on the US budget.The US financial drain is simply a fact that cannot be hidden. The United States is incapable to fulfil its alliance bonds to Japan, Egypt, Israel, Taiwan and NATO states.. It is in Russia's interest to proceed this conflict until the sack of money is empty and forces the US to make serious peace negotiations. erstwhile that happens, no 1 knows. Peace negotiations between the US and Russia are being held in Turkey and Geneva. The media doesn't tell us, but we request to be aware of that. In my humble opinion, Egypt will play a key function in this global power push.
The brutal war in Yemen has been going on since 2014. The US actively supports Saudi Arabia. It is estimated that the Yemeni war has consumed around 400,000 victims, and another 19 million people are on the brink of starvation. In 2020, they sold more than $23 billion worth of weapons to Saudi Arabia. It is the next bottomless well that the United States dug itself. The war in Yemen has a immense impact on the US defence complex's production capacity. In short, the U.S. is incapable to produce the ammunition essential for conducting the conflict in Ukraine and Yemen, let alone securing safety in the South China Sea and Mediterranean, in which Egypt historically is simply a safety guarantor, as the ancient Romans, Turks and British have seen.
Russia is presently the largest wheat producer. The largest importer of wheat – Egypt.
U.S. financial assistance to Egypt in 91% is intended for the acquisition of arms and wheat.
Egypt subsidises regular bread prices from the state budget. The sharp increase in the price of bread in Egypt will consequence in a revolt and civilian war in Egypt, as a consequence the blockade of the Suez Canal, the main artery of planet trade. The possible revolution in Egypt virtually set the full African Mediterranean coast on fire for decades. This threat is recognised by Italy, France, Greece, Spain, the Balkans but Poland. It is so not amazing that Greece refused to send its Leopards to Ukraine. Turkey, with its aspirations to rebuild the Osman empire, is just waiting for opportunities and blurring hands.
The main supplier of wheat for Egypt is Russia.
According to the United States Department of Agriculture study of July 13, 2022, Egypt has made the largest wheat acquisition in 10 years of 815,000 metric tons from France, Russia, Bulgaria and Romania at an average price of $416 US dollars per tonne. Egypt is trying to diversify wheat supply, but it is not so simple on the marketplace that is dominated by Russia. Our experts inactive think Russia is just a large gas station. This was the case during the russian Union, times have changed, and our experts are inactive surviving in the era of the dreary Soviet. Russia has been very efficient in strengthening its global position by conducting a war with the US on many levels. Russia is taking its time, is able to drag this war for the next 2 or 3 years and thus bring the U.S. to financial ruin and displace the US dollar as a currency utilized in global settlements. Peace negotiations are inevitable. Poland will pay a very advanced price for its thoughtlessness.
The borders of Ukraine will change and how they will look nobody knows. It is likely that Ukraine will lose Odessa and so access to the Black Sea. The depth of Donbas will not return to Ukraine. It is simply a immense and crucial industrial district, which produced about 40% of Ukraine's GDP. The failure of Donbas will be compensated by the Polish industrial belt extending from Przemyśl to the border with Germany in Nysa Lužická, hence we see the settlement of Ukrainians in Przemyśl, Rzeszów, Krakow, advanced Silesia and Wrocław. Manhole Ukraine is likely to be admitted to the European Union. Poland will not only have giant Kosovo on its east border with all its pathologies, but besides a immense problem of a very hostile cultural minority, which already reaches 10 million Ukrainians, who have been located in key cities specified as Szczecin, Gdańsk, Poznań, Rzeszów, Warsaw, Kraków, Katowice. cultural friction will be inevitable. Ukrainians in many cities will simply take over the administration and Poles will be reduced to second-class citizens. We will witness the mass emigration of Poles. The settlement of Ukrainians in Poland must be considered in the context of the peace agreement, which is already being discussed between the US and Russia. The United States does not hide the cultural and cultural plans for the reconstruction of Poland, as evidenced by the words and actions of all US ambassadors since 1989, and especially Marek Brzeziński, who de facto He is the politician of the Nadwiśla Region. Unfortunately, Poles are asleep. Society ignores warnings. It is threatened by Russian imperialism. The United States preys on our phobias. And it is Germany that will colonize us, and if it is not Germany, the Russian will take us into his embrace and do Sibir. The only save is simply a good Uncle Sam from Hammer. We should realise that we are trying to deprive ourselves of our own country, and Poles should return to the reserves and to emigration! Whether these plans will come actual depends only on Poles themselves and our determination. We must be aware of the threat. For decision makers, we are a tribe destined to be exterminated according to a modified plan Generalplan Ost by Doctor of medicine Hans Ehlich. I hope I'm incorrect about the situation.
Paweł Szymanski
Author leads his blog
