Polls and elections like to repeat themselves

patrzymy.pl 6 months ago

The fact that there was a ruling organization and the largest opposition organization wanted to repeat the political maneuver that moved the triumph in the 2015 presidential election was known for a long time. Project Andrzej Duda 2.0 was bornBut life as usual rapidly and brutally verified the right assumptions. 1 Momota was close, and the PiS would weave in its own legs, due to the fact that there is no another way to call throwing from the primaries to the civilian candidate and inactive on the way there were specified stops as: Mariusz Błaszczak, or Przemysław Czarnek.

Eventually, the choice fell on Karol Nawrocki, and almost from the very beginning, 1 large whine began, intertwined with mockery. Strangely enough, the PiS voters who wanted “fajter” and “Polish Trump”, that is Przemysław Czarnek, were rather many. Opponents in turn enjoyed themselves, like Bronisław Komorowski in 2015, erstwhile he joked that he did not know what Duda would compete with him. Traditionally, investigation studios joined the game, showing alarming indicators. Karol Nawrocki was to recognise no more than 30% of Poles and no more than 24% expressed their desire to vote for him. specified results Andrzej Duda could envy Nawrock, due to the fact that he himself got little than 20%.

It has been 2 weeks, which in politics on the 1 hand is eternity, but on the another hand, it is very fewer erstwhile it comes to building designation and support. Meanwhile, the government laboratory of CBOS published a poll in which Rafał Trzaskowski descends from 50% to 46 percent, and Karol Nawrocki approaches from 24 percent, to 34 percent. With a regular amendment to CBOS, it can be estimated that the real score here and now is about 38 to 34 in favour of Trzaskowski. It means that political history Lying to the polls begins to repeat, but at an accelerated rate. Andrzej Duda began to catch up with Bronisław Komorowski only a fewer weeks before the first circular of elections. Karol Nawrocki approaches Trzaskowski before the authoritative launch of the campaign.

The repetition of the situation is very seldom literal and without any differences, so it is in this case. It is actual that politicians with large opposition absorb cognition through learning on their own mistakes and others' mistakes, but they will not commit general foolishness. Rafał Trzaskowski observed Bronisław Komorowski's defeat and besides has his own presidential defeat, so he will surely not live in the belief that the elections will win themselves. Karol Nawrocki has already passed through a tough political school, although he is actually just getting to know how it works. Citizen candidate with the support of the Law and Justice, will gotta take peculiar care, due to the fact that specified dirty actions as attempts to combine it with gangsters, basements and Nazis, there will be many more.

The election will be won by the 1 who made the least mistakes of his own and predecessors, in another words, solidly recapture the past lesson. Karol Nawrocki theoretically has an advantage in this discipline due to the fact that he is simply a doctor of history, but Rafał Trzaskowski is simply a doctor of political science, so each of them has its assets. Anyway, the easy way to the Presidential Palace can both forget. Trzaskowski does not look good yet, but this is not Bronisław Komorowski's level yet. Karol Nawrocki's start was weak, then he got very excitedHowever, as an athlete, he must remember that the forces must be spread over all catches or rounds. Neither knockout nor pogrom in this conflict will be, whoever wins this will make it a method advantage and a game to the end.

We don't believe in anyone, we don't believe in anything! We look at facts and draw conclusions!

Read Entire Article