The first session of the 10th Parliament of the word of office ended on Thursday. It's been a very long time since November 13th. The parliament will again meet on 10 January, erstwhile the political scene very quickly, most likely inactive in winter, enters the pre-campaign mode before the local elections.
How did the fresh majority – for any Coalition on October 15, for others on December 13 – usage this time? Is the beginning of her regulation a success or a defeat?
1. What was done at the session of the Sejm?
Readers and readers of Political Criticism must be following closely SeimflixBut for the record, what happened in the aired episodes of this season.
The fresh majority succeeded:
- Select a fresh Presidium on the first day, showing that there is no “coalition of Polish affairs” in the Sejm, about which said Prime Minister Morawiecki.
- Adopt the Restoration Act In-vitro financing.
- Adopt the bill freezing energy prices for the first six months of 2024.
- Reveal Donald Tusk's fresh government.
- Appoint committees to analyse envelope elections and visa scandals.
- Adopt a resolution on the recovery of the situation in public media, after which the Ministry of Culture began to amend them.
- Present Draft budgetwhich, contrary to the concerns of any of the voters of the fresh coalition, does not enter the logic austerites, continues social programs of the Law and even introduces fresh ones.
2. What is the meaning of the Sejm's decisions?
This accomplishment of the first session of the Sejm can be considered rather decent. Especially given the time lost to the farce entitled “The two-week government of Morawiecki Prime Minister”.
Restoring in vitro backing is simply a social and progressive movement. It truly changes the lives of many couples who want a child, and at the same time meets the social expectations of liberalisation of state regulations on bioethical issues and many others. The fact that, despite the appeal of Archbishop Stanisław Gądecki, president Duda signed the bill is besides a good symbol of how Poland is changing.
Investigative commissions meet the crucial coalition electorate on October 15 expectations of settlements of PiS abuses, as well as changes in television. In the subject of the settlements, we should besides mention the judgement of the territory Court in Warsaw, which on Wednesday sentenced Mariusz Kamiński and Maciej Wąsik to 2 years of absolute imprisonment for exceeding their powers at the time erstwhile they led the CBA, in connection with the alleged land scandal, directed at Andrzej Lepper, deputy prime minister in the government of Jarosław Kaczyński. Marshal Holovnia has legally decided to extinguish the two's mandates – which they can inactive appeal to the ultimate Court. If Kamiński and Wąsik lost their ticket and actually went to prison, it would be a sign that the regulation of law is active in Poland, that there are mechanisms to settle for abuse of power and services.
However, any reservations request to be added to this list of successes. On the occasion of the law on the freezing of energy prices, there was an component radically liberalising the rules for the setting of wind turbines in Poland. specified matters cannot be dealt with with with contributions, there needs to be an authentic debate and consultation process. Fortunately, free media and public opinion force worked, the fresh majority withdrew the fan records.
In turn, the acquisition of TVP took place in a way that in the most power-friendly explanation can be considered legally controversial. Which makes the fight of the fresh squad to gain full control of the station inactive ongoing – Samuel Pereira's TVP Info account on the portal X is inactive defending itself – and the process will be accompanied by maximum political strengthening, polarization and swinging emotions.
3. What are the consequences of no honeymoon for Tusk?
The second were not missing in the Sejm either. The fresh majority cannot anticipate a honeymoon or even the first 100 days of peace. And even from their sympathies. These turned out to be very impatient. Disappointment with what the fresh majority does, its voters showed before the Tusk government was established.
Expecting the fresh government to do as much as possible, leaving the fresh majority small space, forcing it to not always be the most favorable movement at the moment. It can be assumed that the blitzkrieg towards TVPiS and others taken over by Novogrodzka of public media was not so much due to the fear of the power of transmission produced by specified a twelve written propaganda as Michał Rachoń, but due to the fear that the voters of the Coalition on October 15 admit that in the case of public media it shows weakness and is incapable to be causative.
All the more reason the fresh majority cannot number on the opposition's honeymoon. The PiS from the beginning went into a full opposition model. A average democratic change of power and its accompanying changes, the organization seeks to present as a coup d'état, a threat to Polish statehood, a fresh Stalinism.
During the first session of the Sejm, members of the PiS organization besides explicitly played for destabilising the work of the advanced House, hoping that stress and deficiency of experience would lead to the compromise of Simon Holownia as the talker of the Sejm. The Holovnia nevertheless won the war on the nerves of the PiS, building itself politically.
4. What does the PiS say?
Each of these successes of the opposition turns even more radicalization of the PiS and moves the organization to increasingly anti-systemic positions. And this is another reservation that you can have for Coalition policy on October 15 after the election: Polish policy is even more polarised present than before the election.
Could the fresh majority have reversed this logic of polarization? Nope. PiS radicalizes itself due to the fact that this decision was made by Jarosław Kaczyński – due to the fact that he believes that this will keep his camp solid – and would radicalize no substance what the fresh government would do. The parliamentary majority, with a clear parliamentary mandate, must besides not retreat from the policies for which voters gave it a green light, fearing "whether this would by any chance make the Law and Justice more radical."
But taking these assumptions, 1 can see that the way to change the authorities of TVP strengthens and accelerates the radicalization tendencies in the PiS. Although it is hard to argue that TVP could not be tolerated in the form we have known for the past 8 years. The same is actual of Kamiński and Wąsik – they cannot be denied a ticket, although this will mean a brawl in the Sejm.
The total, hysterical kind of opposition, the constant shouts of the “stand”, “Targowica”, “honor”, “the eleventh occupation, the seventh occupation” will not politically aid the PiS. It is possible that Jarosław Kaczyński is thus launching a "protocol of 25 percent" and is losing local government elections, European elections and not excluded that besides presidential elections.
The problem is that the PiS course for full radicalization, marginalization and ridicule, for the positions of increasingly anti-systemic opposition, completely contesting the legitimacy of the coalition's regulation on October 15, is bad news not only for the PiS, but besides for Poland. due to the fact that all democratic strategy needs a good, substantive, systemic opposition, otherwise the force that governs it easy begins to submit to worrying processes.
There is no specified opposition in Poland today. The Confederacy cannot become 1 due to the extremes of its views. The effort to build a image of the Confederate as this substantive right in the 10th Parliament of the tenure – which Bosak and Mentzen had taken very clearly – dissolved into the mist of dust from fire-fired fire extinguisher by MP Braun.
All the more so, the opposition cannot present be PiS, leaving the Sejm's debate on the budget to occupy – utilizing the mode of parliamentary intervention – spaces in TVP or Polish Press Agency.
Unfortunately, the chances of this organization getting specified a beating in both next year's elections are alternatively slim. The fresh majority will gotta learn to regulation with extremist opposition and geared to obstruction, like no another in the past of the 3rd Republic.
