After 2 months of political maneuvering, Macro yet found a fresh prime minister in individual Michel Barnier, it became clear what trajectory the presidential camp would choose: right. Another confirmation of this phrase is the composition of the Council of Ministers, due to the fact that in addition to the Macronists, and alternatively those more right-wing, politicians will sit in it unambiguously associated with conservative Republicans (LR).
According to the left, Barnier's incarceration at Matignon (the seat of French prime ministers) is simply a violation of democratic rules, as ignored I like voters. and a typical of the 4th largest parliamentary force was placed above the candidate with the largest number of MPs (NFPs). Moreover, Barnier's number cabinet will be closer to the nationalist right than the social left, and the erstwhile will search support in the face of a possible vote of distrust.
Who are the fresh ministers?
The fresh government is predominantly male (in terms of full ministers) and alternatively old, with a higher average age (52.5) than in respective erstwhile cabinets. We'll find a evidence of 10 sixty-year-olds and 3 seventy-year-olds. Despite the advanced age, fewer members of the government have ministerial experience – on the 1 hand, the right has not ruled since 2012 and has exchanged their first ranks in the meantime, on the another hand the Macronists have put on fresh faces. But the vast majority has already ruled at local or regional level.
With a more detailed analysis of the composition of the fresh cabinet, a comparatively tiny number of representatives of the classical administrative elite, i.e., the graduates of the celebrated ENA, for the decade of the chief forge of the staff leading the French Republic, are presented. They were replaced by an exceptionally large number of ministers with business or economical background – as many as three-quarters of Barnier's government members have specified an education. They appear so fearsthat this will strengthen the trend already seen in earlier macro-Novian governments to treat the state as a private company, leading to a simplification in expenditure without paying attention to social costs.
Moving to The political affiliation of ministers, on paper, the numbers are outnumbered by macronists. Almost everyone, however, came from the right wing of the presidential camp, so as many as 29 members of Barnier's government gathered experience in right-wing parties, and only 4 were always associated with the left. This contrasts with the first Macronian cabinets of Édouard Philippe erstwhile about half of the ministers had previously operated in the Socialist organization or another centre-left groups.
There were respective Christian traditionalists in Barnier's government, including Patrick Hetzel, liable for higher education. A fewer months ago, he opposed Macro's projects entry of abortion rights in the Constitution and legalization of euthanasia, accusing the presidential camp of succumbing to the "ideology of woke".
Belt tightening, combating immigration and “order”, or more of the same
Barnier and his colleagues will face a advanced budget deficit of about 6 percent. As a result, State spending cuts were announced and fresh ministers were given the task of seeking savings in their departments. However, Barnier did not regulation out the imposition of higher taxes on the rich, which would be a reversal of Macron's current policy. In addition, the President's protégé, celebrating Antoine Armand's 33rd birthday, will be straight liable for the correction of the budget – 1 of his first moves may include the withdrawal of the taxation simplification on the income of large corporations made by Macron at the very beginning of the presidency.
In turn, the Ministry of the Interior known from a hard hand Gérald Darmanin will replace politicians with even more conservative views. Owned by LR Bruno Retaileau, he is simply a supporter of the "penal revolution", including stricter sentences and a simplification in the age of full criminal responsibility. The tightening of the law would put the French penitentiary strategy in difficulty – according to data Last year, nearly 75,000 inmates were held in a full of 60,000 prisons. This necessarily hinders control and rehabilitation of prisoners, but the second is not the priorities of the fresh government.
In his position, Retaileau stated that he had 3 main objectives: "restore order, reconstruct order and reconstruct order againIt’s okay. ” It is simply a classical slogan of the French right, raised by Sarkozy, Darmanin, but besides RN politicians. There is religion behind him that the greater severity of the criminal strategy and police repression is adequate to solve the problem of crime, even though for many years specified measures have at most yielded average results. At the same time, small is said about public investment or occupation creation – the government will effort to reduce competition by limiting immigration to France. It is hard to see this as a break with the policy so far, due to the fact that already last year the macronists made changes in migration law in cooperation with nationalists. France is facing a correction alternatively than a change in the current course that was heading to the right anyway.
New government without honeymoon
The right-wing turn and strong position of the Conservatives with the LR, despite a reasonably modest number of deputies, is due to Barnier's cabinet's dependence on the support of the Le Pen party. Left and nationalists could vote a vote of distrust together, so Macro decided to make a silent agreement with his old enemy. For Marine Le Pen it is an chance to push your own projects and gain greater acceptance on the French political scene, which will facilitate the final dismantling of the Republican front.
Among another things, the left has protested so powerfully in fresh weeks, bringing hundreds of thousands of people to the streets. Jean-Luc Mélenchon called Barnier's cabinet "the government of losers", referring to the mediocre election consequence of Macronists and LR. He was assisted by socialist leader Olivier Faure, speaking of a "reactive government showing the mediate finger of democracy". Paradoxically, the only groups outside the ruling coalition will be left-wing and nationalists, or 2 political options that came out of the July vote clearly reinforced.
Le Pen uses the situation to influence Barnier's government. Meanwhile, the left is the only real opposition that can be beneficial to it in the long term. According to the polls 60% of French people have no assurance in the recently formed government. 80% believe that it will not be able to improve their purchasing power, the quality of wellness care or reduce social inequalities. The more Macron's camp moves to the right, disappointing citizens on these issues, the more space to set up on the left. The question is how much NFP is ready to take them.
