The latest survey poll of Opana24, conducted before the second circular of the 2025 presidential election, points to a tiny advantage of Karol Nawrocki over Rafał Trzaskowski. Among respondents determined to participate in the vote on 1 June, 47% declared support for Nawrocki and 45% for Trzaskowski. 8% stay undecided.
This is the first poll in this run to show the advantage of the PiS candidate. In the erstwhile opinion study24, conducted just after the first round's results were announced, Trzaskowski supported 46% of Nawrocki's support.
The results of the first circular showed that the sum of support for candidates supported by parties forming the government of Donald Tusk (Trzaskowski, Hołownia, Biejat) amounted to 40.88%, while candidates for the right-wing opposition (Nawrocks, Mentzen, Braun, Jakubiak) gained a full of 51.45%.
The behaviour of the voters of Sławomir Mentzen and Adrian Zandberg, who enjoyed large support among young people, will be peculiarly important. The UCE investigation survey for Onetu analyses their preferences in the context of the second round.
The scandal connected with Karol Nawrocki's apartment, although loud in media, did not importantly affect his quotations. More than half of the respondents declare that it will not affect their election decision.
The second circular of the presidential election will be held on Sunday, June 1. Turnout in the first circular was 66.8%.
