On Sunday, US president Donald Trump published an entry on the fact Social platform in which he openly suggested the anticipation of a change of power in Iran. In his post he stated:
“It is not politically correct to usage the word ‘change of regime’, but if the current Iranian government is incapable to origin the Iran to be a large Again (Make Iran large Again), why shouldn’t the government change?? MIGA!!!”
Trump's comment fell in consequence to the weekend strikes of the American armed forces aimed at 3 Iranian military and atomic facilities. The raids he administered, according to Pentagon communications, aimed at the demolition of ballistic rocket magazines and drone production infrastructure, but according to many not necessarily straight seeking to overthrow the authorities in Tehran.
However, the President's entry contradicts the authoritative position of his administration. defence Secretary Pete Hegseth made it clear that the intent of the operation was “not, is not, and will not be, to change the regime” in Iran. Trump, jokingly referring to his electoral slogan, first considered this option.
W There were voices of both support and criticism from Washington. any influential Republicans agree with the request for a tough approach to Iran, while Democrats inform against escalation of conflict without legislature mandate. Senators on both sides of the ideological barrier debated on Sunday about the constitutionality and strategical consequences of the strokes.
On the global stage, the Iranian Ministry of abroad Affairs has condemned the US's actions as a "dangerous violation of global law" and announced a decisive response. The UN safety Council convened an emergency gathering as a substance of urgency to discuss tensions in the region and the anticipation of deescalation.
A possible government change in Iran, which has not been officially announced yet, is, however, at the heart of the debate on the future of American policy towards the mediate East. The question of whether the United States is actually considering specified a extremist step remains open and Tehran's responses will be crucial to the continuation of the conflict.
It is worth reminding where the muslim Republic of Iran came from. The muslim Revolution, which reached its climax in 1979, was a consequence to Mohammad Reza Pahlawi's autocratic chess rule. His power has been supported by the American CIA and British intelligence since 1953, and the fast pace of modernization and secularization imposed on society deepened inequality and marginalized the influence of Shiite clergy. The brutality of SAVAK's secret police and widespread corruption exacerbated discontent, which was reflected in the ideas of Ayatollah Ruhollah Khomeini. From France, where he was in exile, Khomeini promoted the concept of muslim regulation – wilāyat al-faqīh – and his sermons and letters, smuggled by students and channels of the underground social network, united various opposition groups.
In 1978, demonstrations of students and workers turned into mass protests that paralyzed the oil manufacture and academic life. The climax was to burn down Rex cinema in Abadana, which consumed hundreds of victims and ignited even more anger towards the regime. Deprived of political support and under expanding global pressure, chess left Iran on 16 January 1979. On 1 February, Khomeini returned to the country in a triumphant atmosphere, and on 11 February the muslim Republic was announced. In April, a fresh constitution was approved, setting up the ultimate Leader at the top of power and creating supervisory institutions specified as the Guardian Council.
In the fall of 1979, there was a dramatic break in relations with Washington. On November 4, muslim students occupied the American embassy in Tehran and held 52 hostages for 444 days, demanding extradition of the overthrown chess and designation of the fresh government. This event ended authoritative diplomatic relations and launched severe economical sanctions that weakened the Iranian economy for decades to come.
Just a year after the Revolution, on September 22, 1980, Iraq Saddam Hussein attacked Iran believing that the young republic was besides weak to defend itself. The Iraqi-Iran war, which lasted almost 8 years and ended with a ceasefire on August 20, 1988, resulted in massive losses on both sides. Despite the global embargo, Iran has mobilized massive Basij formations and developed the native arms industry, supported by North Korea, Libya and private contraband channels in the region.
Today, the muslim Republic of Iran remains a theocratic state, where the ultimate Leader, presently Ayatollah Ali Chamenei, has real power, and the president has executive functions in constant control of the Guardians Council and the Revolutionary Guard. The country faces harsh sanctions, especially after the U.S. withdrew in 2018 from the JCPOA atomic agreement, and interior protests against inflation, unemployment and moral restrictions. At the same time, Iran strengthens its function in the region by supporting the Shiite militias in Iraq, Lebanon, Syria and Yemen, which faces the opposition of Saudi Arabia and Israel. The endurance of the muslim Revolution present depends on the ability to reconcile autocratic structures with the request for economical reforms and political openness.
