Donald Tusk announced on Monday that he would address the Sejm for a vote of assurance for his government. After the Prime Minister played a key function in the spectacular defeat of Rafał Trzaskowski, it was hard to anticipate “500 days of peace” – a proposal which the Platform made after Bronisław Komorowski won in 2010. However, so fast and with large probability a suicidal reaction surprises me – so far I had Tusk for Bartleby's temperament policy from Herman Melville's novel, which answered all call to act: "I would alternatively not."
On Sunday evening, the Prime Minister placed a cherry on a cake of his own mistakes, allowing Trzaskowski to announce the victory, despite having access to analyses indicating Karol Nawrocki's triumph. He had already sabotaged the campaign: organisation of primaries forced the candidate to extend the campaign, he had raised doubts in the electorate whether Radosław Sikorski would be better, until, finally, a fewer days before the second round, he referred to the authority of old Muran. It looks like Tusk was doing everything to make Trzaskowski lose.
Graveyard Without Successors
Jarosław Kaczyński, although a tyrant and an autocrat, can remove himself into the shadows and delegate tasks – as evidenced by the introduction of a little-known doctor of past to the Presidential Palace. After losing to Bronisław Komorowski, he realized that erstwhile it comes to fighting for a group of voters wider than a hard base, he was a burden for his own formation.
Tusk has the sense of an elephant in a porcelain store. After the disappointing consequence of Trzaskovsky in the first circular well understood electorate of the written non-written journalists, such as Piotr Wójcik, advised him to draw conclusions and to take note of a negative assessment of the government's work for a year and a half, issued by the public. Instead, Tusk made another unrealistic promise. "By the end of May we will be ready with more than 100 laws deregulation the Polish economy and administration" – wrote on X.
"A 100 – I issue it as if I spit" is most likely the motto of the Prime Minister, constantly multiplying promises he cannot fulfill. In this respect, he is closer to Marek Jakubiak, calculating Polish coal resources for 900 years, than to any policy wishing to keep at least the appearance of credibility.
On Sunday, voters made it clear what they thought about the postponement of the statutory offensive, justified by president Duda's vetoing 3 laws on the cross and another questionable excuses. The irony of destiny is that the “500 days of peace” of the coalition sworn in on 13 December 2023 passed rather recently, in late April.
Tyran Kaczyński does not have a natural successor at the head of the party, but candidates to fight for succession will be at least a twelve – from Nawrocki staff, by Ziobrists, Obietkovists, Moravians and Blacksmiths, after seeking fresh professional challenges by Andrzej Duda. But politician Tusk just helped drown the main contender to the platformer throne. The bloody conflict of Marcin Kierwiński, Arkadiusz Myrchy, Isabella Lestiny or Ewa Kopacz for leadership over 1 of the 2 biggest parties in Poland would surely be fascinating, but it does not look like it will happen.
No arguments found
The most grotesque of Tusk's unfulfilled promises remains the 1 about the liberalisation of abortion law. In July, it will be a year since the Prime Minister suffered a pathetic defeat over the decriminalization of abortion aid. It was not about returning a recipe to remove the fetus, if studies show that his irreparable disability can kill his parent on the occasion – as promised by the Civic Coalition before the elections – only to guarantee that the life-saving female deceived by another doctors by Dr. Gizel Jagielska did not gotta endure the raid of the dazems, and that the closest pregnant individual did not wonder if they would go to jail for helping her against the state.
"I feel very bad that I did not find any arguments that would convince all those who voted differently from me," Tusk then defended himself. "Will I find arguments to convince president Kosiniak-Kamish and his club to change their position rather radically in terms of proportion? I don't know, for now I don't hear voices that would empower us to be optimistic" - he added with a gruesome pain on his face, standing in truth.
Is present erstwhile right-wing Poland posted an alt-right turbocharge, Tusk found arguments that would convince president Kosiniak-Kamish and his club to a alternatively extremist decision to gather all hands on a clearly sinking deck? If there are 12 angry people on the coalition boat who felt that the wind of past was blowing in a somewhat different direction than before the parliamentary election, we will prepare for the accelerated elections in the autumn and the likely triumph of the PiS coalition with the Confederate.
The timetable is already known
The PSL's betrayal is purely hypothetical – the organization is celebrated for its activism, for which honor and loyalty are just as unnegotiable as the demands of the defence of the KRUS or the subsidies for developers, and the earlier elections would almost surely send her well-loved politicians outside the Sejm jury. But of the 32 Polish MPs 2050, 32 PSL and 21 parliamentary representatives of the Left, that is, parties whose weakening of the Prime Minister is dealt with with with an admirable consequence, can already be managed by a selection team. Besides, there would be at least a fewer future-thinking politicians who would trade their own parent for their promise of a post-election position.
In 2006, terrified Tusk, in cooperation with Gierty and Lepper, wanted to decision the session of the Sejm to Warsaw University of Technology erstwhile it appeared re-election spectrum over time PiS polling hegemony. Today, respective weeks after German Chancellor Friedrich Merz had already been ritually dug through by his coalitionists, AfD in the polls overtakes the competition as Nigel Farage's UK improvement marches towards the demolition of the Labourers and Tories, and the National Unity in France prepares for Bardella's presidency, this looks like throwing a towel.
It does not appear that any pilot was flying with us, but despite what Tusk said in his speech last night, “we are moving on.” but the timetable's already known besides well.
