The election's behind us. Of the loud announcements of the leaders and sympathizers of the Confederate, small remains. So it's worth taking this kind of conglomerate to the workshop.
Unlike many of my colleagues, in this case I have the comfort of individual distance to this formation, so it is simply a small easier – due to the fact that without emotion – to conduct criticism.
Expectations
It is very hard to analyse the results of subsequent polls, especially erstwhile it comes to tiny numbers and inaccurate research, which focuses on the support itself without analyzing the motivations of the respondents, but nevertheless it is worth comparing the rhetoric of the leaders of the Confederation with the percent changes in subsequent publications. And so here, a period ago, part mainstreamum She was afraid that the formation in question was to become a 3rd force in parliament and tongue in weight, without which it was not possible to establish a majority government. Real competitors for the Confederates were in these elections committees of the Left and 3rd Way. Overtaking them would favour national-freedom in the division of mandates in almost all district, so they could number on a consequence of 30-50 sabres in the Sejm.
Dancing with the stars or turning the table jury?
So what went incorrect that yet turned out to be the last ones crossing the threshold and taking at most a twelve seats? Looks like Krzysztof Bosak and Sławomir Mentzen they decided to soften their image a little, as if they were afraid of mainstream media rhetoric. They stopped believing in their own message, so why should they believe in it? Of course, the Confederacy has besides fallen into a bit of a trap for subsequent events, and in those areas that mattered in the campaign, but let us be honest: the reaction of the locomotives mentioned above was a conducive failure of interest and support. And so on the Ukrainian issue: erstwhile the PiS government decided, contrary to the European Commission, to extend the grain embargo, Confederates began to hide a man associated with this rhetoric Grzegorz Braun and calm down establishment "We want Russia the worst." A reasonably well-known “account” issued to the Ukrainian authorities was completely devoid of a charge acting on the imagination. Mercantilism will not replace bleeding wounds in the form of unburied CNS-UPA victims. Does that sound cynical? Well, I warned you that my own distance to "nationality" would let me to formulate more incorrect ones too.
Because let's halt this hypocrisy, too. The rules of the election run are simple: they're expected to talk about you. As much as possible. If you are positioned on an “antisystemist”, you cannot worry about the strategy attacking you. On the contrary, you are then authenticated. But just like that, you either dance with the stars, or you flip the table. jury. You can't be half pregnant. So he's right about his criticism. Janusz Korwin-Mikke. Whatever controversial he might have said, it was interesting. Conversely, it was the leaders of the election committee who wanted to show that they met Michnik and Sakiewicz standards. Well, the voter sensed false.
Konglomerate
Does anyone remember the thought behind the Confederacy? The mentioned Korwin-Mikke never concealed that it was pure pragmatism. That without joining forces of nationalists, freedomists and anti-Korvinian (sic!) freemen, there is no chance of exceeding the 5% threshold. And it turned out to be true. After all, if not for this decision, the full formation would be seen and heard only on the Internet. In the meantime, it gained an audience and access to mass media. And by this, there are more temptations in the system. The best example here is career Arthur Dziamborwho is invited to TVN and drinking from the same cups as mainstreamHe yet fell under his spell. Today, proudly, after the “resocialisation”, he is already circulating in the media as a “converted critic”. Well, that was the price of a political mish-mash.
But apart from renegades, did the Confederacy manage to make a coherent message? Not really. In pandemic times we had Braun on the 1 hand, but existing social initiatives, specified as the Entrepreneur Strike Paul TanajnoThey argued that the attitude of nationalists did not meet the request for social resistance. Again, putting the mask on half was besides illegible. Like taking the first dose erstwhile you object to the second. And sitting your ass on a bench.
Inconsistency split
So the Confederacy became a slave to media narrative. After the outbreak of the fresh phase of the war in Ukraine, she advanced to the “victim” of the anti-Russian madness of the dominant election campaign. Trolls wrote Cyrillic the name of the formation, and Mrs. Gosievska from the PiS shouted after Grzegorz Braun “a Russian onuca speaker”. Paradoxically, however, this was an image capital. You shouldn't have let it go. The full political scene had to be scored as a servilist towards Kiev and its sponsors. As a seller of the memory of the bander victims. As giving Polish weapons into abroad hands. The PiS presented itself as “a sovereign option”? large motive for the attack. On the last simple campaign, however, they were PiS staffmen – with their own stupidity – attacked the Confederacy as a collaboration against Donald Tusk. And I think it worked to any extent. Again, there was no discipline that had to be lacking in the conglomerate.
Perspective
The Confederacy evolved on an perfect basis. With the anti-system coalition, it became a little correct Citizens' Platform for young boys. Better acquainted with online memes, with less wrinkles on your face, but besides with clarity. Fictitated in fiscalism Mentzen may be convincing for the victims of the capitalist story “from zero to a millionaire”, which you believe is that ZUS stands in the way of their business ideas, but it will not bring millions of Poles feeling national humiliation. He was incapable to play this even from the national formations of Krzysztof Bosak, focusing increasingly on his ethics and his own hair alternatively than on the core of the message, which the national voters would be entitled to expect.
The Confederacy will be in the Sejm, but the Sejm will be able to do without it. It won't even be decisive for a possible rejection of a presidential veto. If Donald Tusk will not decide to get free of the expected Left coalition (replacing it with the Confederacy; hypothetically this anticipation exists), then nationalists will find themselves in a hard situation of "smaller right-wing opposition", i.e. they will be sentenced to consume by the Law and Justice. Only the dissolution of the ruling formation can be a hope for them, but the Confederates themselves will go different ways, creating more sophisticated parliamentary circles. Or eat them, for example. Zbigniew Ziobro, which will most likely be the first to separate from the PiS, since this will cease to supply a supply of resources.
Neoliberal beer
Thus, a coalition whose goal was to defeat electoral arithmetic will most likely be the victim of typically seismic arithmetic. All he can do is occasionally trade his own support for the fresh government. If he bid high, he might have adequate for a car. But political fuel for this vehicle will be gone. Is that a shame? Like who. Not really. Where the national right returns to favors, it usually does so under the slogans of opposition to neoliberal capitalism, and in our case proposes treatment for influenza angina and says "neoliberalism? hold me a beer, I will show you what neoliberalism means!’ And that mamona ideology happens under a white-red flag? And due to the fact that this is the first time?
Tomasz Jankowski
