Censorship in peripheral countries present the West is much more stringent than in the centre of the system, where separate sentences on the war in Ukraine or the COVID-19 pandemic inactive let for authoritative political, publicist and technological circulation. Of course, the margin of freedom of investigation and freedom of speech is systematically limited, which is simply a symptom of e.g. cyclical campaigns to exclude/silence feminists critical of the concept of sex self-identification. besides in the West, the media considered to be illegitimate, ideological, and especially geopolitically hostile (i.e. associated with Russia, Iran and China) are blocked. However, the 2 worlds – the chief and non-systemic ones – function in a way side by side and get acquainted with the arguments separate from the mainstream media and political centres do not require any transition to conspiracy, threatens criminal responsibility, or equals closure in an online bubble. All of this makes the Western public debate deeper and more interesting than in the 3rd Poland.
Expanding Against Promises
A realistic analysis of the causes and all conditions of the conflict in Ukraine was present in the western discourse as early as 24 February 2022, vividly contrasting with the ten-month-old dominant hysteria in Poland. Work Benjamin Abelov (University of Pennsylvania) fits into the familiarized stream of warnings against the escalation of the fresh Cold War, which in the last 4th of the century has been followed by different analysts as Noam Chomsky, John Mearsheimer,Richard Sakwa – and in his time besides American geopolitics practitioners: George F. Kennan and Robert McNamara, which no 1 could accuse of either russian or rusophilia, or even excessive mildness and submissiveness in shaping global relations. All mentioned since the 1990s, however, had a deep conviction that The further expansion of the North Atlantic Pact, its approach to the borders of Russia, contrary to the arrangements and promises made to end the two-block system, will yet trigger a Russian reaction, possibly threatening to planet peace. Any strategical gains that the United States and its allies make will be disproportionately tiny in relation to the risks posed.
Georgian script
What is crucial for the Polish reader – the beginning of specified a series of events is the unification of Germany without the condition of their simultaneous appearance with NATO, and then the extension of the Paku to Poland, considered to be "potential catalyst for war on Russia” as Dr. Douglas Macgregor (b. Iraq commander, for presidency D. Trump Assistant Secretary of Defence and the U.S. Ambassador to Germany). According to B. Abelov (and earlier besides prof. R. Sakwa, the author of crucial “Frontline Ukraine: Crisis in the Borderlands” and “Russia Against the Rest: The Post-Cold War Crisis of planet Order) The war clock accelerated importantly with the readiness to absorb Ukraine and Georgia, declared at the NATO Summit in Bucharest in April 2008. This decision, in peculiar in conjunction with the Georgian army's attack on South Ossetia and Russia in August 2008, is absolutely crucial for knowing Russian attitude towards the Ukrainian crisis.
List of provocations
Western actions towards Moscow are already called by name: provocations, calculating successively the overthrow of democratically elected Ukrainian authorities in 2014, replaced, according to prof. Mearsheimer, by "pro-western and thoroughly anti-Russian neo-fascist”and then massive reinforcement of Ukraine, which long before the Russian invasion cost US budget at least $4 billion. Another aggressive decision by the U.S. is Distribution of anti-balistic rocket launchers in Romania in 2016 and announcements of the same installation in Poland. As B. Abelov reminds, the Mark-41 AEGIS systems utilized to fire 48 Tomahawk missiles, with hydrogen warheads, with a scope of up to 1,500 km, and thus allowing Moscow to be achieved. In this case, the author draws attention to an crucial analogy with the memorable Cuban crisis caused by the deployment of U.S. hydrogen PGM-19 Jupiter missiles in Turkey. At that time, escalation left the Western public with the mistaken impression of diplomatic success achieved by Washington's unconvincing attitude towards the alleged russian expansion. Meanwhile, as B. Abelov recalled, this was a rational compromise, achieved mostly through openness and good common relations between the leaders of both superpowers. Unfortunately, specified a peace defence mechanics does not seem possible in the current realities.
Recent warnings
The situation was aggravated by the continuity of provocative American politics. In 2017, the administration Donald Trump decided to sale Ukraine openly offensive weapons and in 2019. The United States unilaterally withdrew from the INF Treaty on the Complete Elimination of Short and average scope Missiles, concluded in December 1987 and constituting the cornerstone of the relaxation policy at the time. NATO forces regularly conduct manoeuvres on the border with Russia, practicing (as in 2020 and 2021) attacks in Estonia (obviously only retaliation...) for targets located in the Russian Federation. Finally, in June 2021, the Brussels summit of NATO one more time drew out the Bucharest Declaration of 13 years ago, one more time announcing the extension of the Pact to Ukraine. prof. Mearsheirmer explained: “Such a improvement of events Moscow found unacceptable, and so began mobilising its forces across borders Ukraine so that a clear signal can scope Washington. No effect, while Biden's administration only strengthened relations with Ukraine, This led to a full-scale diplomatic conflict with Russia in December [2021]. Minister Sergey Lavrow stated: We have reached a critical point.It’s okay. ”
A Lost Chance
According to the researchers cited in the book, to the last moments before the Russian invasion, a peaceful solution was full possible, based on a clear declaration that Ukraine would stay outside NATO and keep absolute neutrality, guaranteed by the US and Russia, with the support of Germany and European structures. On 19 February 2022, he gave this proposal to the President Zelensky German Chancellor, Olaf Scholz. However, the western side deliberately and deliberately rejected and sabotaged specified a scenario, as had previously been refused support for all peaceful initiatives on the Ukrainian side. Volodomyr Zelenski won the presidential election promising peace and normalization of relations with Russia, but the United States not only refused to support specified a policy, but increased the force to militarize Ukraine and increase tensions against Crimea and Donbas. In this sense, therefore, The West forced war not only on Moscow, but on Kiev.
‘Let's go!“
Analyzing the strategical background of the West-East conflict, American policy critics pay attention to the apparent imbalance. Would Washington's concern be little and American reactions little determined if Canada declared joining the Organization of the Collective safety Agreement under Russia and powered by Chinese subsidies Fuerzas Armadas de México She would set herself up over the Rio Grande in combat formation and announce the repetition of the Alamo and the liberation of Texas? Western public opinion (not to mention Polish) is urgently protected from specified a reflection by the established belief that "It's different.“ In another words, ” or, “it’s not the same.But we're allowed!It’s okay. ” Over 200 years of Doctrine Monroe. it did not teach Americans to realize and recognise the importantly tempered safety zones of another states and nations. On the contrary, the rule “We're allowed.” in the case of crises as heavy abiding as Ukrainian absolutions American acceptance for first impact strategy, due to the fact that to this was the relocation of atomic weapons systems into a tactical scope involving Russian political, economical and population centres. And action has consequences...
Ukraine doesn't matter?
‘Ukraine cannot be regarded as applicable to the interests of the safety of the United States in any imagination attack. Indeed – Ukraine does not substance at all. No offense to the Ukrainians themselves – they are invalid“ Benjamin Abelov explains. So in his and not only his conviction, we had to deal with a series of bluffs and provocations from the U.S. and NATO, conducted as part of a game to gain an additional advantage point for...the very advantage. The human cost, the tools used, the tactics utilized in specified cases are completely irrelevant and secondary, and can be freely sacrificed and abandoned. However, due to the fact that the same gameplay seen from the Russian side could only be seen in terms of deadly danger – all of us, a immense part of humanity, were in the state of the most real threat of our existence.
And the faster Western societies to which the work of specified geopolitical realists is directed are the closeness of the abyss to which we are being pushed – the greater the chance to save. However, the key remains the impact on the policies of our own states and governments, or at least the knowing that the Ukrainian crisis is not a origin for a unilateral court solely on Russian policy, without accepting the motives, course and effects of NATO and the United States.
Konrad Hand
Benjamin Abelov (2022) How the West Brought War to Ukraine: knowing How U.S. and NATO Policies Led to Crisis, War, and the hazard atomic Catastrophe. large Barrington, MA: Siland Press, p. 75.
