"Wasal USA Germany falling apart"

If panic over respective political parties that advocate a re-establishment of relations with Russia and which have achieved good results in the elections to the European Parliament is already 10, it is expected to emergence to 11 if they keep the growth in the polls before the September Land elections in Saxony, Brandenburg and Thuringia.

Voting on EU membership clearly signaled the discontent of voters. The upcoming Land elections may pose a challenge to German support for the Ukraine Project, putting more force on the ruling coalition, which is already on life support.

A small bit of information about the 2 parties threatening to shake the apple cart: the oldschoolow left Sahra Wagenknecht Sahra Wagenknecht (BSW) focuses on working class issues, ignores identity policy, and opposes the fresh US-led Cold War.

The second organization is, of course, the ethnonationalist alternate to Germany (AfD). It wants to regain German sovereignty from the EU and NATO and delight Russia, due to the fact that it is in the German interest. While the organization gained broad support from the working class, critics, specified as the BSW, claim that it is not a friend of the people, but alternatively favors a different taste of oligarchs—German alternatively than global. What truly pushed AfD forward is its open opposition to the dramatic increase in the number of immigrants to Germany in fresh years.

You can see it on the electorate:

There is besides evidence that a crucial part of the support for AfD is simply a way to show the mediate finger to the current political establishment, which enjoys evidence low support.

The 3 countries that will take part in the elections are the erstwhile east German trade union countries, to a large degree the working class with any larger employers in industries specified as the automotive sector, device manufacturing and metallic processing. Trade union countries are poorer erstwhile it comes to German trade union countries:

Source: Statistics

Brandenburg (6.1 percent), Thuringia (6.3 percent) and Saxony (6.6 percent) ranks somewhat above the national average of 6 %.

The fact that elections take place in east Germany is simply a benefit to AfD and to a lesser degree to BSW. We see how well AfD went in the European elections (blue is AfD, and this is the Christian-Democratic Union):

According to Manès Weisskircher, who examines social movements, political parties, democracy and the utmost right at the Institute of Political Sciences of the University of Technology in Dresden, support for AfD in the East results primarily from the of 3 factors:

1. Neoliberal "great transformation", which greatly changed the East German economy and continues to lead to emigration and anxiety for individual economical perspectives.

2. A constant sense of marginalisation among residents of East Germany who feel that they have never been full integrated since the unification and are outraged by liberal immigration policy in this context.

3. Deep discontent with the functioning of the political strategy and uncertainty about political participation.

The voters in the East besides abandoned another political parties specified as the Left (Die Linke) which completely collapsed after abandonment Almost all of its erstwhile working class platform for identity policy, trying to look "ready to rule". Like the Greens, the left increasingly advocates neoliberal, pro-war and anti-Russian politics. In response, erstwhile left-wing voters are increasingly passed AfD.

Wagenknecht left the left and started her own organization earlier this year. In fact, the one-man organization is already competing for support from 150-year-old SPD Scholza. In the European elections, BSW gained almost 13 percent in Saxony, 13.8 percent in Brandenburg and 15 percent in Thuringia. Before the BSW inactive a long way to catch up with AfD, but if polls are any indication, there is simply a good chance that after the September political establishment elections in these countries will stand ahead of the choice: effort to ally with the BSW to keep a firewall against AfD or bring AfD into government.

Here is simply a look at current polls in states:

These polls origin increased blood force in Berlin, Brussels and Washington. SEMAFOR recently summarized the way you think in these places in an article titled "The large Worry".

They effort to explain in it what is incorrect with voters that they would vote for AfD or individual like "prokremlowski" Wagenknecht. Of course, according to serious people, the main responsibility lies with the Russians:

The results of the elections to the European Parliament showed a clear division between erstwhile East and West Germany, with almost all constituency in the erstwhile east bloc going to the far right AfD, which prompted 1 of the economists to comment: "Who said the Germans were united?" Saxon scientist said in an interview with "The German Review" that despite his support for Russia's friendly parties, "Germany from the East does not like Russia. Instead, they learned during the Cold War that Better not provoke the Kremlin.". Analysts warned against Russian impact campaigns during the European elections to increase support for far-right parties. However, in east Germany, support for AfD's position towards Russia and migration has become so strong that "it has no influence at all," said political scientist Hans Vorländer.

Senator's article highlights a different trend among the rooted establishment, which consists in aligning the left and right (in this case BSW and AfD) as 2 sides of the same medal:

Jan Rovny, prof. of Political Sciences at Sciences Po, told Semafor. The utmost left designs the incorrect nostalgia behind Russia as a "carrier of any kind of russian heritage", while the right sees Putin as a symbol of "Christian, traditional, masculinistic Europe". The striking thing is that alternatively of fighting each other, nationalists perceive themselves as a united bastion in the face of a perceived as a common enemy.

This evidently has nothing to do with the economical realities of German energy policy, nor with the question of whether it is reasonable for Germany to full submit to the function of a US military facility with long-range weapons aimed at Moscow (and Russian hypersonic missiles aimed at Berlin). SEMAFOR concludes: "The utmost left and the utmost right wave various colored flags, but they are yet similar".

But they're not really. Not at all.

Here are any examples:

• The BSW proposes a fairer taxation strategy that would be beneficial to the working class, e.g. the request for a taxation on surplus profits in the industrial sector. AfD I want to lower taxes in all areas, including those that are progressive and service to redistribute wealth specified as inheritance tax

• The BSW believes in global warming and wants to proceed to take action for the climate, but work to mitigate the economical blow to the working class. AfD rejects climate science. W its electoral manifesto to the European Parliament states that the "statement of man-made threat of climate change" is simply a "CO2 hysteria" and would abolish climate laws that reduce prosperity and freedom.

• The BSW wants to strengthen the social safety net. AfD underlines the limits of the function of the state.

It is easy to realize why lazy analyses throw left and right into 1 bag. On issues that truly substance to the Atlanticists who attack bureaucratic and media offices (unquestioned support for Brussels' economical policy and for NATO's war on Russia), the AfD and the BSW hold akin positions. Both are in favour of abolishing sanctions against Russia and arms supply to Ukraine and getting out of Washington's control. The fact that these parties are very different in terms of economical policy for workers is not so important. possibly the Atlanticists werebusy for so long attempts to equalize Nazism and communism from the times of planet War II, it all comes naturally.

Regardless of what is clear from these analyses and the continued deficiency of any government consequence to the concerns of the voters, it is the belief that voters must change. Who needs to halt being so backward, so stupid, and wanting things he can't have.

When asked after the compromising result of his organization in the elections to the European Parliament, whether he would like to comment on his humiliating defeat, Chancellor Scholz said nothing about proceeding the concerns of the voters and promised to resolve them. He just said no to the challenger.

And that actually sums up where Germany is right now. The democratic strategy has partially broken down due to the fact that voters make demands and elected leaders simply say no. The Minister of abroad Affairs in the Scholz government, Annalena Baerbock, was more open in her infamous comments of 2022:

Speaking of Baerbock, she may have taken on a satirical cake erstwhile she late withdrew from the race for the office of Chancellor next year. Reason? She said The planet needs "more diplomacy, not less," which may sound unusual in the mouth of individual who is known for deficiency of diplomacy, but fits perfectly with the current government.

No wonder voters are looking for alternatives.

AfD prepares to break through the firewall

What else can they throw on AfD at the minute – apart from the complete illegalization of the organization that could plunge Germany into chaos? This anticipation remains on the table, and the fresh usage of 200 masked police officers to raid the office and home of the right-wing publisher Compact Magazine is not a good sign.

AfD is routinely placed under a bar in the media. Nazi comparisons were repeated indefinitely, frequently for no reason, as AfD members simply cannot refrain from admiration for the 3rd Reich, specified as the leading AfD candidate in the European Parliament election, Maximilian Krah, who had to retreat from the run in May after he said that not all members of the Nazi SS were criminals. There's besides many another examples.

The organization is already under state supervision.

Spy and Corruption Affairs with the participation of the AfD members broke out before the European vote.

Nevertheless, the organization gained the best in June National score so far, taking second place in the European Parliament elections with a consequence of 15.9%. Their next mission is to start breaking the fire barrier in Germany, which aims to keep the organization distant from any government.

"Fire dam has already disappeared at municipal level" – told the agency Reuter Joerg Urban, head of AfD in Saxony. "Another step is state level".

Initially, a more anti-EU organization and shelter for neo-Nazis, AfD was able to lift itself up to a wave of opposition to government policy, which was disastrous for people at work – from the war in Ukraine and the failure of the punishment war, through a disastrous energy policy that hit poorer people the most, to a large increase in immigration while at the same time reducing the standard of living. It is now widely seen by its supporters as a organization that will "save" German culture and reconstruct the country's pleasantly mentioned days – whether from 10 years ago or 85 years ago.

However, mainstream parties in Germany are not credible erstwhile they criticize AfD's ethnonationalism, while at the same time they support the genocide in Palestine, which may include a fast increase in deportation and at the same time take a much sharper line towards immigrants, trying to thwart the emergence in the popularity of AfD. At the beginning of this year, the Bundestag passed a bill to improve repatriation, which extends from 10 to 28 days the time during which the state can keep individual from being deported. It besides gives you more power to enter houses, makes certain criminal offences suspected is adequate to deportation of people, and any actions by humanitarian workers who aid asylum seekers are punishable by up to 10 years in prison.

The open question is whether opposition to the increase in immigration to Germany would be specified a problem if it had not occurred during budget cuts and a decreasing standard of living. Regardless, the way chosen by the current government, like the AfD, is to punish immigrants alternatively than effort to improve the standard of living.

Will anyone truly represent the working class?

Scholza's coalition oscillates around the border of 10 percent in most East Germany. If Wagenknecht is the president of the last nail to the SPD coffin after a half-century fall accelerated by abandoning the working class, he is working on taking the place that she (and Die Linke) erstwhile occupied.

Problem is, it turns out she's fighting more AfD. [3] The Scholza organization abruptly has no real backdrop to talk about. In the European elections, somewhat over 18% of Germans voted for SPD, and AfD – 18.5 percent, Adam Tooze explains:

Germany, who feel wealthy, is twice as likely to vote for the Greens or FDP as those who feel they are doing badly. But the SPD besides achieves 36 percent better results among Germans who think they live well, unlike those who feel bad. The parties whose support is leaning the another way are in opposition: the Wagenknecht and AfD groups. Support for AfD is 2 and a half times bigger among Germans who consider themselves tough than among those who consider themselves wealthy.

As Tooze described in his detailed voting message Germany in the European Parliament elections, "The real opposition in German society and political preferences is not between the “old” labour movement and the AfD. The real alignment is between AfD and the Greens".

The CDU may lead national polls and possibly lead the future government, but Greens and AfD best represent ideological forces in Germany. 1 of them is simply a globalist, neoliberal, bourgeois, pro-war, pro-Pronatatist organization that favors immigration. The second is sovereign, ethnonationalist, advocates a more national oligarchy, has expanding support for the working class (despite the deficiency of political proposals that would benefit workers) and does not argue war, but insists that it is in the interests of Germany alternatively than Washington.

BSW is trying to crash this party. September elections in 3 east states can be a large boost.

As you can see, the German electorate is in a state of fluctuations, driven by shocks in the country and deep discontent with the ruling coalition. There is no neat way to explain the migration of voters, but possibly anger. fresh polls show that 87 percent of AfD voters believe that the current government should receive reprimand; 71 percent of Wagenknecht voters agreed. Both parties collect voters from another parties, regardless of ideology:

Wagenknecht supporters consider peace and war in Ukraine to be their main concern, and she continues to stress her opposition to the conflict, as well as the fresh decision to deploy American long-range missiles in Germany. Their second biggest concern is immigration. Wagenknecht, born in East Germany in a German and Iranian family, does not want to limit immigration for ethno-nationalistic reasons like AfD, but her position can be summed up by her Answering a question on this issue:

We do not think that a neoliberal immigration strategy where everyone can go anywhere and then gotta someway effort to fit in and last is simply a good idea. We must welcome people who want to work and live in our country, and we should learn that. However, this should not disturb the lives of those who already live here, and it should not strain the collective resources for which people worked and paid taxes. Otherwise, expanding the importance of the native right will be inevitable. In fact, AfD in its present form is mostly the legacy of Angela Merkel. In Germany we have a dramatic shortage of housing, especially for low-income people, and the quality of education in public schools has become frightening places. Our ability to give immigrants an chance to participate equally in our economy and society is not unlimited.

Wagenknecht's problem is that Germany considers immigration to be its most crucial problem and trust AfD most. And here we come to the bottom of the collapse of democracy in Germany. It would be hard for the current and erstwhile government to advance AfD better if they tried.

The fast influx of millions of immigrants combined with economical stagnation, affordable housing and cuts in social services is simply a recipe for disaster. And so here we have the AfD, which received money from a billionaire, a descendant of prominent Nazis, willing to win state elections, despite many comments from organization officials, showing at best a deficiency of knowing for Nazi crimes, and at worst admiration for them, as well as arguing that Muslims and others are "unconciliable" with German culture.

The assistant isn't just from Berlin. Voters may wonder what is so bad about AfD, since the "responsible" political center in Brussels and Washington supports the Nazis in Ukraine, rehabilitates the Nazis, introduces mass censorship and another repressions, supports genocide and mostly draws us kicking and shouting into its neoliberal fascist imagination of the future. And there is no uncertainty that if AfD had gradually learned to follow the NATO and EU lines, she would no uncertainty have been welcomed with open arms in the salons of power, regardless of any admiration for the SS.

Is it worth voting for AfD, despite its large baggage, due to the fact that the organization advocates restoring sovereignty to Germany, which could contribute to the collapse of the EU and NATO? The problem with this justification is the BSW option, which offers the same opposition to the Ukraine and NATO task as the AfD, without any sentiment for Nazis and a better platform for the working class, so possibly that answers the question.

More broadly, the simplest way to defeat a organization like AfD is to give voters material benefits that will improve their quality of life; Instead, we are dealing with a reverse situation, and on top of that, voters are insulted as racists for seeking an alternative, while their standard of life falls, and the "centre" clogs their ears and insists on "stability".