"Every civilization that always existed yet collapsed," noted Henry Kissinger in 1 of his most celebrated statements, concerning the fall of large empires. What the celebrated politician did not add is that most frequently failure is due to interior causes; a combination of pride and idealism – and that no media grasp solves problems. The same applies to the US.
The American empire is falling. This is not any random philosophical reflection. Recently, as the verbles of conflict are increasing again in the mediate East, it is crucial to remember what happened first in Kosovo, then in Iraq, Afghanistan and Libya.
The destiny of empires in their late stages of improvement is fascinating. It is simply a combination of apathy of society, war hysteria led by semi-spiritary and ahistoric semi-heads, full of hypocrisy and selfishness of elites, a structural collapse caused by complacency and excessive spending, self-sufficient bureaucratic inertia and allied traps.
In the book Myths of Empire: home Politics and global Ambition Jack Snyder wrote, why the large powers grow excessively, become insolvent and yet go into a state of imperial decline.
He identified 3 factors driving specified trends: "domino theory" (idea that 1 profit leads to another), offensive advantage and reasoning that both allies and opponents are paper tigers. However, its main thesis afraid the United States: interior policy, in peculiar by interest groups – abroad lobbyists, military, bureaucracy – frequently produces, promotes and sustains those 3 factors that lead to this imperial enlargement, which is frequently contrary to the country's actual interest.
The problem of today's United States is that they are neither as rational as an empire in the growth phase, nor as socially coherent as in their origins. The US does not have a strict hierarchy of the empire; hence the decision-making process suffers from both the hysteria generated and the ignorance of public opinion. At the same time, given that the US is suffering from abroad interest groups (e.g. Israel), combined with bureaucratic inertia and national arms lobbyists, the toxic position quo persists.
Countries like Israel and Ukraine realize that very well. Ukraine knows that the desire for the glory of the presidential administration makes them eternally entangled in the road and the lost war. Similarly, Israel understands that it can extend its boundaries and settle disputes with its neighbors by riding the back of American hegemony. It is right to sense the approaching multipolarity and the resulting collapse and limitation of American power, as well as American political trends and where they will lead in the next 2 generations. Therefore, he uses it as best he can – today.
Unfortunately, possibly we are entering the final phase of this dynamics with another calamity akin to that of ancient Rome — this time in Iran. Interestingly, 1 of the last imperial chords of the empire was Julian Apostaty's fixation war against Persia in 363. After this failed operation, the Empire has already faced fundamentally the defeats themselves.
One thing is to say “America First”. This word has strategical consistency and so allows both allies and opponents to plan, trust and accept red lines. What we see now is “Americana First — but with a fewer exceptions”. It causes apparent chaos.
Given that global policy is anarchist, all country, allies and opponents are seeking order and balance. No 1 trusts or wants to deal with a large power that is chaotic, hysterical, and inconsistent. This did not substance in unipolarity, but in the emerging multipolarity on the global phase it will return to haunt the US over the next fewer decades.
The United States has become unpredictable and thus untrustworthy in the eyes of allies.
We besides recommend: Resolution I of the Postwar judaic Conference!
